Saint-Etienne 2-1 Metz — Result, Statistics & Match Review — France - Ligue 1, 30 May 2024

Saint-Etienne
2 - 1 HT 1 - 1
Metz
📅30/05/2024 · 🕒21:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Authentic Intelligence™ · Probability per market
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
48%
1.93
Draw
28%
3.28
Away
24%
3.68
Under/Over 2.5
Under Pick
53%
1.8
Over
47%
1.94
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.82
No
49%
1.87
Total Goals
0-1
28%
3.01
2-3
46%
1.77
4-5
21%
3.88
6+
5%
17.25
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
28%
2.65
1/2
2%
34.5
1/X
6%
13.35
X/1
17%
4.36
X/2
10%
7.76
X/X
17%
4.34
2/1
3%
26.0
2/2
12%
5.99
2/X
5%
14.0
STRENGTH — pattern support: Good → Great · fuller bar = deeper record. Informational.
Our Pick = the view of our model: the outcome it rates most likely. A forecast, not a bet.
SIGNALS Team Signals — the why behind the numbers
iddaakolik predictions — not real match figures
HOME Saint-Etienne The Market 52%
Signal
AWAY Metz The Market 27%
Average Team Performanceagainst Market Expectation Average
1.59 xG Scorediddaakolik model prediction 1.20
1.10 xG Concedediddaakolik model prediction 1.53
Weak Attack Strength Average
Average Defense Strength Average
51% Ball Possession 49%
13 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
349 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 326 · 77%
23 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 14
25 Crosses 15
2 Yellow Cards 2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Saint-Etienne
2W-1D-3L
AWAY Metz
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
1.04 xG 0.89
58% Ball Possession 42%
14 Total Shots 9
3 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 4
384 Passes 263
81% Pass Accuracy 75%
22 Box Touches 13
23 Crosses 15
2 Yellow Cards 2
22.04.2023 Saint-Etienne Saint-Etienne 1-3 HT 1-3 Metz Metz FR2
07.11.2022 Metz Metz 3-2 HT 2-1 Saint-Etienne Saint-Etienne FR2
06.03.2022 Saint-Etienne Saint-Etienne 1-0 HT 0-0 Metz Metz FR1
30.10.2021 Metz Metz 1-1 HT 1-1 Saint-Etienne Saint-Etienne FR1
07.02.2021 Saint-Etienne Saint-Etienne 1-0 HT 1-0 Metz Metz FR1
25.10.2020 Metz Metz 2-0 HT 1-0 Saint-Etienne Saint-Etienne FR1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Saint-Etienne
2 - 1
AWAY Metz
1.60 xG 0.18
55% Ball Possession 45%
15 Total Shots 5
5 Shots on Target 2
5 Corners 2
391 Passes 319
81% Pass Accuracy 78%
34 Box Touches 11
27 Crosses 14
2 Yellow Cards 1
REVIEW Saint-Etienne vs Metz
IDDAAKOLIK POST-MATCH REVIEW

Saint-Etienne came out on the right side of a one-goal game with Metz 2-1. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Saint-Etienne as the likeliest winner at 48%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead.

Neither goals market gave much away — over 2.5 sat at 47% and both teams to score at 51%.

By the numbers, possession split 55% to 45% in Saint-Etienne's favour, shots finished 15-5, expected goals 1.60 to 0.18 — on chances created, Saint-Etienne won this by more than the scoreboard admits.

The head-to-head backdrop: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Metz led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Scoring in those meetings ran 1.00 a game for Saint-Etienne against 1.50 for Metz.

Saint-Etienne vs Metz Result & Final Score

Saint-Etienne 2 - 1 Metz in the France - Ligue 1 on 30/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

Saint-Etienne vs Metz Prediction vs Result

Before kick-off our model rated a Saint-Etienne win the most likely single outcome at about 48%, with the full match-result split Saint-Etienne 48%, draw 28%, Metz 24%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Saint-Etienne), BTTS Yes — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Saint-Etienne) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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