Louisville City vs Detroit City Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Louisville City v Detroit City — Team-Based Signals
Louisville City vs Detroit City Head-to-Head — Last 5 Meetings
4-0
HT 2-0
Detroit City
USLP
2-0
HT 1-0
Louisville City
USLP
1-0
HT 0-0
Detroit City
USLP
2-1
HT 0-1
Detroit City
USLP
0-1
HT 0-0
Louisville City
USLP
Louisville City 5-1 Detroit City — Actual Match Statistics
Louisville City swept aside Detroit City 5-1. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.
As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Louisville City as the likeliest winner at 60%, and the 5-1 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (58%) came in.
On the day, Louisville City had 43% of the ball to Detroit City's 57%, shots finished 16-10, expected goals 1.66 to 1.84.
For context: across their last 5 meetings in our records, Louisville City had the better of it with 4 wins. Those games averaged 1.60 goals for Louisville City and 0.60 for Detroit City.
What was the final score of Louisville City vs Detroit City?
Louisville City 5-1 Detroit City in the USL Championship on 30/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Louisville City vs Detroit City?
Before kick-off our model rated a Louisville City win the most likely single outcome at about 60%, with the full match-result split Louisville City 60%, draw 20%, Detroit City 19%. The final score 5-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Louisville City), Over 2.5 — a clean sweep of the main markets.