Azerbaycan (K) 0-5 Litvanya (K) — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Austria - Karnten Unterliga, 30 May 2025

📅30/05/2025 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-0 2nd Score 4-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
69%
1.22
Draw
19%
5.28
Away
12%
10.87
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
45%
2.1
Over 2.5
55%
1.67
Both Teams to Score
Yes
40%
2.44
No
60%
1.49
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
21%
2-3 Goals
43%
4-5 Goals
25%
6+ Goals
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
52%
1/2
4%
1/X
4%
X/1
10%
X/2
5%
X/X
10%
2/1
7%
2/2
4%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
69%
Home Win
78%
-8.4pp
19%
Draw
16%
+3.1pp
12%
Away Win
7%
+5.3pp
45%
Under 2.5
44%
+1.5pp
55%
Over 2.5
56%
-1.5pp
40%
BTTS Yes
37%
+3.2pp
60%
BTTS No
63%
-3.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Azerbaycan (K) EU Bookmakers 82%
Head to Head
AWAY Litvanya (K) EU Bookmakers 9%
-15% / -15% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -4% / -4%
1.00/0.48 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.62/2.62
-66% / +19% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +8% / +7%
61% Ball Possession 39%
19 Total Shots 7
8 Shots on Target 2
7 Corners 2
492 · 87% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 252 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Azerbaycan (K)
1W-0D-0L
AWAY Litvanya (K)
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.00
62% Ball Possession 38%
17 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 1
12 Corners 1
1 Yellow Cards 0
04.04.2025 Litvanya (K) Litvanya (K) 0-2 HT 0-1 Azerbaycan (K) Azerbaycan (K) AVKUL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Azerbaycan (K)
0-5
AWAY Litvanya (K)
20 Total Shots 13
12 Shots on Target 6
7 Corners 5
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Azerbaycan (K) vs Litvanya (K)
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Litvanya (K) cruised past Azerbaycan (K) 5-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-4. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

By our pre-match numbers this was an upset: we had Azerbaycan (K) at 69% and the game still went the other way. Single results are noisy — probabilities earn their keep across thousands of matches, not one. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (55%), no to both teams scoring (60%) came in.

On the day, shots finished 20-13.

What was the final score of Azerbaycan (K) vs Litvanya (K)?

Azerbaycan (K) 0-5 Litvanya (K) in the Austria - Karnten Unterliga on 30/05/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Azerbaycan (K) vs Litvanya (K)?

Before kick-off our model rated a Azerbaycan (K) win the most likely single outcome at about 69%, with the full match-result split Azerbaycan (K) 69%, draw 19%, Litvanya (K) 12%. The final score 0-5 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Azerbaycan (K)) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Azerbaycan (K)) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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