Lokomotiv Plovdiv 3-0 Marek Dupnitza — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Bulgaria - 1st Division, 30 May 2025

Lokomotiv Plovdiv
3-0 HT 2-0
Marek Dupnitza
📅30/05/2025 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✗ 2nd Score 2-0 ✗
Bulgaria - 1st Division – 2024/2025

Lokomotiv Plovdiv vs Marek Dupnitza Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
51%
1.42
Draw
24%
4.08
Away
25%
6.69
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
56%
1.78
Over 2.5
44%
1.95
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
2.29
No
54%
1.55
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
29%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
23%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
34%
1/2
9%
1/X
11%
X/1
12%
X/2
7%
X/X
6%
2/1
5%
2/2
9%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
51%
Home Win
66%
-15.1pp
24%
Draw
22%
+2.1pp
25%
Away Win
12%
+13.0pp
56%
Under 2.5
52%
+3.1pp
44%
Over 2.5
48%
-3.1pp
46%
BTTS Yes
40%
+6.6pp
54%
BTTS No
60%
-6.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Lokomotiv Plovdiv v Marek Dupnitza — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Lokomotiv Plovdiv EU Bookmakers 70%
Head to Head
AWAY Marek Dupnitza EU Bookmakers 15%
-13% / -17% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +38% / +38%
1.88/1.05 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.00/1.00
+8% / -26% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +40% / +92%
59% Ball Possession 41%
14 Total Shots 8
5 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 3
388 · 83% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 238 · 73%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
2.2 Yellow Cards –

Lokomotiv Plovdiv 3-0 Marek Dupnitza — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Lokomotiv Plovdiv
3-0
AWAY Marek Dupnitza
65% Ball Possession 35%
13 Total Shots 5
7 Shots on Target 1
3 Corners 0
2 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Lokomotiv Plovdiv vs Marek Dupnitza
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Lokomotiv Plovdiv swept aside Marek Dupnitza 3-0. Half-time: 2-0.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Lokomotiv Plovdiv as the likeliest winner at 51%, and the 3-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (56%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Lokomotiv Plovdiv had 65% of the ball to Marek Dupnitza's 35%, shots finished 13-5.

What was the final score of Lokomotiv Plovdiv vs Marek Dupnitza?

Lokomotiv Plovdiv 3-0 Marek Dupnitza in the Bulgaria - 1st Division on 30/05/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Lokomotiv Plovdiv vs Marek Dupnitza?

Before kick-off our model rated a Lokomotiv Plovdiv win the most likely single outcome at about 51%, with the full match-result split Lokomotiv Plovdiv 51%, draw 24%, Marek Dupnitza 25%. The final score 3-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Lokomotiv Plovdiv), BTTS No — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Lokomotiv Plovdiv) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →