Ljungskile 1-3 Varbergs — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Sweden - Superettan, 30 May 2026

Ljungskile
1-3 HT 0-2
Varbergs
📅30/05/2026 · 🕒14:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 ✗ 2nd Score 2-1 ✗
Sweden - Superettan – 2026

Ljungskile vs Varbergs Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
40%
2.38
Draw
24%
3.28
Away
36%
2.62
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
45%
1.86
Over 2.5
55%
1.86
Both Teams to Score
Yes
60%
1.7
No
40%
2.03
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
3.12
2-3 Goals
41%
1.72
4-5 Goals
26%
3.36
6+ Goals
9%
13.1
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
24%
3.58
1/2 EV+ ✗
7%
28.5
1/X
7%
12.75
X/1
11%
5.51
X/2
12%
5.85
X/X
8%
4.57
2/1
6%
27.5
2/2
17%
3.92
2/X
8%
12.85
Value flag · 1/2 at 28.5 — our 7% vs market 1.5%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
40%
Home Win
38%
+2.0pp
23%
Draw
27%
-3.6pp
36%
Away Win
35%
+1.6pp
45%
Under 2.5
50%
-4.6pp
55%
Over 2.5
50%
+4.6pp
60%
BTTS Yes
55%
+5.3pp
40%
BTTS No
45%
-5.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Ljungskile v Varbergs — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Ljungskile EU Bookmakers 42%
Head to Head
AWAY Varbergs EU Bookmakers 38%
+6% / +3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +2% / +6%
2.41/1.07 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.66/1.61
+49% / +21% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +22% / -8%
49% Ball Possession 51%
14 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 5
364 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 361 · 83%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
– Yellow Cards 2.0

Ljungskile vs Varbergs Head-to-Head — Last 1 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Ljungskile
0W-0D-1L
AWAY Varbergs
0.00 Avg Goals (FT) 4.00
41% Ball Possession 59%
2 Total Shots 18
2 Shots on Target 8
4 Corners 5
1 Yellow Cards 1
The Meetings
31.08.2022 Ljungskile Ljungskile 0-4 HT 0-3 Varbergs Varbergs İSÇK
POST-MATCH Ljungskile vs Varbergs
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Varbergs beat Ljungskile 3-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-2.

We called this one close before kick-off — 40% / 23% / 36% — and on the day Varbergs made the difference. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (55%), both teams to score (60%) came in.

What was the final score of Ljungskile vs Varbergs?

Ljungskile 1-3 Varbergs in the Sweden - Superettan on 30/05/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Ljungskile vs Varbergs?

Before kick-off our model rated a Ljungskile win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Ljungskile 40%, draw 23%, Varbergs 36%. The final score 1-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Ljungskile) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Ljungskile) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
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