Al Najma 3-2 Manama — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Bahrain - Premier League, 30 May 2026

📅30/05/2026 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
45%
1.86
Draw
23%
3.45
Away
32%
3.63
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
54%
Over 2.5
46%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
No
49%
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
31%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
19%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
23%
1/2
7%
1/X
8%
X/1
15%
X/2
15%
X/X
9%
2/1
7%
2/2
10%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
46%
Home Win
50%
-4.3pp
23%
Draw
26%
-2.9pp
32%
Away Win
24%
+7.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Al Najma EU Bookmakers 54%
Head to Head
AWAY Manama EU Bookmakers 28%
+6% / +6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -1% / +2%
1.64/0.96 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.82/1.38
-4% / +10% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -26% / -10%
54% Ball Possession 46%
12 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
352 · 83% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 258 · 75%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
3.1 Yellow Cards 1.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Al Najma
0W-2D-4L
AWAY Manama
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 2.17
47% Ball Possession 53%
8 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 4
3 Yellow Cards 2
25.05.2025 Manama Manama 1-1 HT 0-0 Al Najma Al Najma BAH
15.02.2025 Al Najma Al Najma 1-2 HT 1-0 Manama Manama BAH
09.05.2024 Al Najma Al Najma 1-4 HT 1-1 Manama Manama BAH
19.12.2023 Manama Manama 3-2 HT 1-1 Al Najma Al Najma BAH
11.01.2023 Al Najma Al Najma 2-3 HT 1-2 Manama Manama BAHK
19.02.2022 Manama Manama 0-0 HT 0-0 Al Najma Al Najma BAH
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Al Najma
3-2
AWAY Manama
56% Ball Possession 44%
11 Total Shots 5
6 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 1
POST-MATCH Al Najma vs Manama
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Al Najma edged past Manama 3-2. It was 0-1 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Al Najma as the likeliest winner at 46%, and the 3-2 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 46% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.

On the day, Al Najma had 56% of the ball to Manama's 44%, shots finished 11-5.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Manama led the recent series with 4 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Al Najma and 2.17 for Manama.

What was the final score of Al Najma vs Manama?

Al Najma 3-2 Manama in the Bahrain - Premier League on 30/05/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Al Najma vs Manama?

Before kick-off our model rated a Al Najma win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Al Najma 46%, draw 23%, Manama 32%. The final score 3-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Al Najma), BTTS Yes — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Al Najma) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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