Huaquillas 0-1 Leones del Norte — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Ecuador - Cup, 30 May 2026

Huaquillas
0-1 HT 0-1
Leones del Norte
📅30/05/2026 · 🕒02:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 ✗ 2nd Score 0-1 ✓
Ecuador - Cup – 2026

Huaquillas vs Leones del Norte Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
19%
3.75
Draw
28%
3.18
Away
53%
1.91
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
56%
1.59
Over 2.5
44%
2.23
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
2.03
No
50%
1.7
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
31%
2-3 Goals
42%
4-5 Goals
20%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
11%
1/2
7%
1/X
9%
X/1
4%
X/2
15%
X/X
9%
2/1
4%
2/2
30%
2/X
11%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
19%
Home Win
23%
-4.6pp
29%
Draw
28%
+0.5pp
53%
Away Win
48%
+4.1pp
56%
Under 2.5
59%
-3.2pp
44%
Over 2.5
41%
+3.2pp
50%
BTTS Yes
45%
+5.2pp
50%
BTTS No
55%
-5.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Huaquillas v Leones del Norte — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Huaquillas EU Bookmakers 27%
Head to Head
AWAY Leones del Norte EU Bookmakers 52%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
– / – Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) – / –
48% Ball Possession 52%
10 Total Shots 14
3 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
312 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 317 · 78%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
– Yellow Cards –

Huaquillas 0-1 Leones del Norte — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Huaquillas
0-1
AWAY Leones del Norte
53% Ball Possession 47%
19 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 3
11 Corners 2
3 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Huaquillas vs Leones del Norte
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Leones del Norte squeezed past Huaquillas 1-0 away from home.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Leones del Norte as the likeliest winner at 53%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (56%) came in.

On the day, Huaquillas had 53% of the ball to Leones del Norte's 47%, shots finished 19-10.

What was the final score of Huaquillas vs Leones del Norte?

Huaquillas 0-1 Leones del Norte in the Ecuador - Cup on 30/05/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Huaquillas vs Leones del Norte?

Before kick-off our model rated an Leones del Norte win the most likely single outcome at about 53%, with the full match-result split Huaquillas 19%, draw 29%, Leones del Norte 53%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Leones del Norte), Under 2.5 — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Leones del Norte) ✓ Under 2.5
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