Al Arabi 2-1 Al Nasar — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Kuwait - Premier League, 30 May 2026

📅30/05/2026 · 🕒21:15 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
56%
1.61
Draw
27%
3.8
Away
17%
4.47
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
54%
2.1
Over 2.5
46%
1.67
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.7
No
50%
2.03
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
30%
3.85
2-3 Goals
40%
1.79
4-5 Goals
19%
2.9
6+ Goals
11%
9.02
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.85 — our 30% vs market 19.5%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
37%
1/2
4%
1/X
7%
X/1
11%
X/2
8%
X/X
13%
2/1
8%
2/2
5%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
56%
Home Win
58%
-2.3pp
27%
Draw
23%
+4.0pp
17%
Away Win
19%
-1.8pp
54%
Under 2.5
44%
+10.5pp
46%
Over 2.5
56%
-10.5pp
50%
BTTS Yes
55%
-4.9pp
50%
BTTS No
45%
+4.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Al Arabi EU Bookmakers 62%
Head to Head
AWAY Al Nasar EU Bookmakers 22%
+8% / +7% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -8% / -8%
2.30/1.01 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.83/1.60
+18% / -12% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -24% / +7%
53% Ball Possession 47%
13 Total Shots 8
5 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 4
352 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 294 · 80%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.2 Yellow Cards 1.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Al Arabi
5W-0D-1L
AWAY Al Nasar
3.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
62% Ball Possession 38%
15 Total Shots 9
8 Shots on Target 6
7 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 2
09.11.2025 Al Nasar Al Nasar 2-1 HT 1-1 Al Arabi Al Arabi KUV
27.02.2025 Al Arabi Al Arabi 2-1 HT 1-1 Al Nasar Al Nasar KUV
06.01.2025 Al Nasar Al Nasar 0-3 HT 0-1 Al Arabi Al Arabi KUV
07.05.2024 Al Nasar Al Nasar 0-4 HT 0-1 Al Arabi Al Arabi KUV
13.03.2024 Al Arabi Al Arabi 3-1 HT 2-0 Al Nasar Al Nasar KUV
17.02.2024 Al Arabi Al Arabi 6-3 HT 3-1 Al Nasar Al Nasar KUV
POST-MATCH Al Arabi vs Al Nasar
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Al Arabi edged past Al Nasar 2-1.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Al Arabi as the likeliest winner at 56%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 46% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Al Arabi had the better of it with 5 wins. Those games averaged 3.17 goals for Al Arabi and 1.17 for Al Nasar.

What was the final score of Al Arabi vs Al Nasar?

Al Arabi 2-1 Al Nasar in the Kuwait - Premier League on 30/05/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Al Arabi vs Al Nasar?

Before kick-off our model rated a Al Arabi win the most likely single outcome at about 56%, with the full match-result split Al Arabi 56%, draw 27%, Al Nasar 17%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Al Arabi) — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Al Arabi) ✗ Under 2.5
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