30/05/2026
·
15:00
Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score
3-1
2nd Score
4-0
Baerum vs SF Grei Prediction — Model Probabilities
MODEL
iddaakolik
· Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
35%
Over 2.5
65%
Both Teams to Score
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
2-3 Goals
23%
4-5 Goals
36%
6+ Goals
17%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
36%
1/2
5%
1/X
3%
X/1
20%
X/2
7%
X/X
8%
2/1
8%
2/2
10%
2/X
3%
PRO
iddaakolik
· Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
◎
Our call
Over 2.5 — 65% ✓
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our call is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our call is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
STRENGTH
Home Win
BTTS Yes
— pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik
Market
EU Bookmakers
64%
Home Win
70%
14%
Draw
16%
22%
Away Win
14%
53%
BTTS Yes
71%
47%
BTTS No
29%
gold — our model
green — our served pick
grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Baerum v SF Grei — Team-Based Signals
PREVIEW
Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME
Baerum
EU Bookmakers 76%
Head to Head
AWAY
SF Grei
EU Bookmakers 17%
-10% /
-8%
Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations
+8% /
+8%
3.07/1.69
Expected GoalsScored / Conceded
1.55/2.03
-3%
/
-31%
Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.)
+14%
/
+28%
53%
Ball Possession
47%
17
Total Shots
8
8
Shots on Target
3
6
Corners
4
474 · 87%
PassesSuccessful · Accuracy
318 · 81%
–
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
–
–
Crosses
–
1.6
Yellow Cards
1.0
POST-MATCH
Baerum vs SF Grei
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened
Baerum swept aside SF Grei 5-0. Half-time: 2-0. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.
Just as the model leaned, our model had Baerum as the likeliest winner at 64%, and the 5-0 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (65%) came in.
What was the final score of Baerum vs SF Grei?
Baerum 5-0 SF Grei in the Norway - 3rd Division on 30/05/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Baerum vs SF Grei?
Before kick-off our model rated a Baerum win the most likely single outcome at about 64%, with the full match-result split Baerum 64%, draw 14%, SF Grei 22%. The final score 5-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Baerum), Over 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.
✓ Match Result (Baerum)
✓ Over 2.5
✗ BTTS Yes
Want to know how this prediction was produced?
Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself?
Open Match Studio →
NOR4
More Norway - 3rd Division
30 May 2026