Assyriska 1-2 Umea FC — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Sweden - 1st Division, 30 Jun 2024

📅30/06/2024 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
43%
2.53
Draw
25%
3.64
Away
32%
2.32
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
45%
2.43
Over 2.5
55%
1.51
Both Teams to Score
Yes
58%
1.43
No
42%
2.6
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
19%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
26%
6+ Goals
14%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
1/2
7%
1/X
9%
X/1
13%
X/2
7%
X/X
10%
2/1
12%
2/2
18%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Over 2.5 ★★ Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
43%
Home Win
36%
+6.7pp
25%
Draw
24%
+1.0pp
32%
Away Win
40%
-7.7pp
45%
Under 2.5
38%
+7.6pp
55%
Over 2.5
62%
-7.6pp
58%
BTTS Yes
66%
-7.6pp
42%
BTTS No
34%
+7.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Assyriska EU Bookmakers 40%
Head to Head
AWAY Umea FC EU Bookmakers 43%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +7% / +18%
1.68/2.05 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.66/1.31
+17% / -30% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +10% / +2%
50% Ball Possession 50%
16 Total Shots 13
6 Shots on Target 6
6 Corners 6
319 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 276 · 71%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.5 Yellow Cards 1.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Assyriska
2W-1D-1L
AWAY Umea FC
1.75 Avg Goals (FT) 1.25
14.11.2021 Assyriska Assyriska 2-1 HT 1-1 Umea FC Umea FC İSÇ3
23.05.2021 Umea FC Umea FC 2-1 HT 0-1 Assyriska Assyriska İSÇ3
03.11.2012 Umea FC Umea FC 1-3 HT 0-0 Assyriska Assyriska İSÇ2
24.06.2012 Assyriska Assyriska 1-1 HT 0-1 Umea FC Umea FC İSÇ2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Assyriska
1-2
AWAY Umea FC
43% Ball Possession 57%
13 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 2
6 Corners 4
6 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Assyriska vs Umea FC
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Umea FC edged past Assyriska 2-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match lean was Assyriska at 43%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (55%), both teams to score (58%) came in.

On the day, Assyriska had 43% of the ball to Umea FC's 57%, shots finished 13-11.

For context: across their last 4 meetings in our records, Assyriska had the better of it with 2 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.75 goals for Assyriska and 1.25 for Umea FC.

What was the final score of Assyriska vs Umea FC?

Assyriska 1-2 Umea FC in the Sweden - 1st Division on 30/06/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Assyriska vs Umea FC?

Before kick-off our model rated a Assyriska win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Assyriska 43%, draw 25%, Umea FC 32%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Assyriska) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Assyriska) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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