30/06/2024
·
10:00
Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score
0-1
2nd Score
1-0
Daegu II vs Hwaseong Prediction — Model Probabilities
MODEL
iddaakolik
· Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Under/Over 2.5
Both Teams to Score
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
28%
2-3 Goals
43%
4-5 Goals
20%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
9%
1/2
4%
1/X
6%
X/1
10%
X/2
14%
X/X
13%
2/1
4%
2/2
37%
2/X
3%
PRO
iddaakolik
· Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
✋
Decision
No Bet — Skip This Match
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik
Market
EU Bookmakers
23%
Home Win
19%
22%
Draw
24%
55%
Away Win
57%
56%
Under 2.5
50%
44%
Over 2.5
50%
41%
BTTS Yes
49%
59%
BTTS No
51%
gold — our model
green — our served pick
grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Daegu II v Hwaseong — Team-Based Signals
PREVIEW
Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME
Daegu II
EU Bookmakers 22%
Head to Head
AWAY
Hwaseong
EU Bookmakers 61%
-24% /
-24%
Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations
-3% /
-3%
1.75/3.24
Expected GoalsScored / Conceded
1.39/0.82
+65%
/
-61%
Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.)
+4%
/
+26%
44%
Ball Possession
56%
9
Total Shots
16
3
Shots on Target
6
3
Corners
6
261 · 73%
PassesSuccessful · Accuracy
381 · 80%
–
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
–
–
Crosses
–
–
Yellow Cards
–
Daegu II vs Hwaseong Head-to-Head — Last 1 Meetings
H2H
Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME
Daegu II
0W-0D-1L
AWAY
Hwaseong
0.00
Avg Goals (FT)
2.00
The Meetings
POST-MATCH
Daegu II vs Hwaseong
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened
Hwaseong cruised past Daegu II 3-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-2.
Just as the model leaned, our model had Hwaseong as the likeliest winner at 55%, and the 3-0 landed on that lead. On goals, no to both teams scoring (59%) landed while under 2.5 goals (56%) missed.
What was the final score of Daegu II vs Hwaseong?
Daegu II 0-3 Hwaseong in the South Kore - K3 League on 30/06/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Daegu II vs Hwaseong?
Before kick-off our model rated an Hwaseong win the most likely single outcome at about 55%, with the full match-result split Daegu II 23%, draw 22%, Hwaseong 55%. The final score 0-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Hwaseong), BTTS No — while Under 2.5 went the other way.
✓ Match Result (Hwaseong)
✗ Under 2.5
✓ BTTS No
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More South Kore - K3 League
30 Jun 2024