Yelimay Semey 1-1 Zhetysu — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Kazakistan - Super League, 30 Jun 2024

📅30/06/2024 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-0 2nd Score 4-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
52%
1.66
Draw
23%
3.54
Away
25%
4.47
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
48%
1.71
Over 2.5
52%
2.03
Both Teams to Score
Yes
43%
1.99
No
57%
1.73
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
2-3 Goals
43%
4-5 Goals
22%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
38%
1/2
5%
1/X
7%
X/1
9%
X/2
8%
X/X
9%
2/1
5%
2/2
12%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
52%
Home Win
56%
-4.4pp
23%
Draw
25%
-1.5pp
25%
Away Win
19%
+6.0pp
48%
Under 2.5
55%
-6.8pp
52%
Over 2.5
45%
+6.8pp
43%
BTTS Yes
46%
-3.6pp
57%
BTTS No
54%
+3.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Yelimay Semey EU Bookmakers 60%
Head to Head
AWAY Zhetysu EU Bookmakers 22%
+24% / +24% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +9% / +25%
1.51/0.51 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.09/1.30
-3% / +82% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +9% / +8%
52% Ball Possession 48%
13 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
365 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 246 · 71%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards 1.9
POST-MATCH Yelimay Semey vs Zhetysu
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Yelimay Semey and Zhetysu couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. Half-time: 0-0.

Our pre-match lean was Yelimay Semey at 52%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — no to both teams scoring (57%) — went the other way, though.

What was the final score of Yelimay Semey vs Zhetysu?

Yelimay Semey 1-1 Zhetysu in the Kazakistan - Super League on 30/06/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Yelimay Semey vs Zhetysu?

Before kick-off our model rated a Yelimay Semey win the most likely single outcome at about 52%, with the full match-result split Yelimay Semey 52%, draw 23%, Zhetysu 25%. The final score 1-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Yelimay Semey) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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