Riga FC II 2-1 Valmiera II — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Latvia - 1st Division, 30 Jun 2024

📅30/06/2024 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
54%
2.38
Draw
22%
3.8
Away
24%
2.32
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
58%
2.15
Over 2.5
42%
1.64
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.6
No
49%
2.19
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
20%
2-3 Goals
50%
4-5 Goals
20%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
35%
1/2
4%
1/X
9%
X/1
7%
X/2
4%
X/X
7%
2/1
12%
2/2
16%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
54%
Home Win
38%
+16.0pp
22%
Draw
23%
-0.8pp
24%
Away Win
39%
-15.2pp
58%
Under 2.5
43%
+15.5pp
42%
Over 2.5
57%
-15.5pp
51%
BTTS Yes
58%
-7.7pp
49%
BTTS No
42%
+7.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Riga FC II EU Bookmakers 42%
Head to Head
AWAY Valmiera II EU Bookmakers 43%
+18% / +18% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -2% / -2%
1.70/1.34 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.08/1.31
-4% / +1% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +22% / -8%
50% Ball Possession 50%
14 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 2
300 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 356 · 79%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Riga FC II
3W-1D-0L
AWAY Valmiera II
2.75 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
6 Corners 5
03.09.2023 Riga FC II Riga FC II 3-1 HT 2-0 Valmiera II Valmiera II LET1
05.05.2023 Valmiera II Valmiera II 1-3 HT 1-1 Riga FC II Riga FC II LET1
14.10.2022 Valmiera II Valmiera II 1-1 HT 1-0 Riga FC II Riga FC II LET1
17.06.2022 Riga FC II Riga FC II 4-3 HT 3-2 Valmiera II Valmiera II LET1
POST-MATCH Riga FC II vs Valmiera II
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Riga FC II squeezed past Valmiera II 2-1. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we said in the preview, our model had Riga FC II as the likeliest winner at 54%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (58%) — went the other way, though.

Coming into the game, across their last 4 meetings in our records, Riga FC II had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.75 goals for Riga FC II and 1.50 for Valmiera II.

What was the final score of Riga FC II vs Valmiera II?

Riga FC II 2-1 Valmiera II in the Latvia - 1st Division on 30/06/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Riga FC II vs Valmiera II?

Before kick-off our model rated a Riga FC II win the most likely single outcome at about 54%, with the full match-result split Riga FC II 54%, draw 22%, Valmiera II 24%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Riga FC II), BTTS Yes — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Riga FC II) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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