Cusco FC vs Alianza Universidad Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Cusco FC v Alianza Universidad — Team-Based Signals
Cusco FC vs Alianza Universidad Head-to-Head — Last 4 Meetings
2-1
HT 2-0
Alianza Universidad
PERU2
2-3
HT 1-1
Alianza Universidad
PER
1-0
HT 0-0
Cusco FC
PER
0-1
HT 0-0
Alianza Universidad
PER
Cusco FC 4-1 Alianza Universidad — Actual Match Statistics
Cusco FC cruised past Alianza Universidad 4-1. Half-time: 1-0. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.
As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Cusco FC as the likeliest winner at 50%, and the 4-1 landed on that lead.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 51% and both teams to score was close to even at 46%.
On the day, Cusco FC had 56% of the ball to Alianza Universidad's 44%, shots finished 10-14, expected goals 2.39 to 0.84.
Coming into the game, across their last 4 meetings in our records, Alianza Universidad led the recent series with 3 wins. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Cusco FC and 1.50 for Alianza Universidad.
What was the final score of Cusco FC vs Alianza Universidad?
Cusco FC 4-1 Alianza Universidad in the Peru - Premier League on 30/06/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Cusco FC vs Alianza Universidad?
Before kick-off our model rated a Cusco FC win the most likely single outcome at about 50%, with the full match-result split Cusco FC 50%, draw 27%, Alianza Universidad 24%. The final score 4-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Cusco FC), Over 2.5 — while BTTS No went the other way.