Sturm Graz 2-6 LNZ Cherkasy — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Friendlies, 30 Jun 2026

Sturm Graz
2-6 HT 1-4
LNZ Cherkasy
📅30/06/2026 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 ✗ 2nd Score 2-1 ✗
Friendlies – 2026/2027

Sturm Graz vs LNZ Cherkasy Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
52%
1.75
Draw
27%
3.72
Away
21%
3.83
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
49%
2.29
Over 2.5
51%
1.56
Both Teams to Score
Yes
57%
1.56
No
43%
2.27
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
22%
6+ Goals
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
1/2
5%
1/X
5%
X/1
21%
X/2
7%
X/X
16%
2/1
9%
2/2
10%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
52%
Home Win
53%
-1.7pp
27%
Draw
24%
+3.3pp
21%
Away Win
23%
-1.5pp
49%
Under 2.5
40%
+8.9pp
51%
Over 2.5
60%
-8.9pp
57%
BTTS Yes
60%
-3.1pp
43%
BTTS No
40%
+3.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Sturm Graz v LNZ Cherkasy — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Sturm Graz EU Bookmakers 57%
Head to Head
AWAY LNZ Cherkasy EU Bookmakers 26%
-1% / -3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
+20% / +9% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) – / –
52% Ball Possession 48%
14 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
382 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 286 · 75%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
0.0 Yellow Cards –

Sturm Graz 2-6 LNZ Cherkasy — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Sturm Graz
2-6
AWAY LNZ Cherkasy
57% Ball Possession 43%
6 Total Shots 17
3 Shots on Target 7
1 Corners 6
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Sturm Graz vs LNZ Cherkasy
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

LNZ Cherkasy swept aside Sturm Graz 6-2 away from home. Half-time: 1-4. 8 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match lean was Sturm Graz at 52%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals side of the card held up too — both teams to score (57%) came in.

On the day, Sturm Graz had 57% of the ball to LNZ Cherkasy's 43%, shots finished 6-17.

What was the final score of Sturm Graz vs LNZ Cherkasy?

Sturm Graz 2-6 LNZ Cherkasy in the Friendlies on 30/06/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Sturm Graz vs LNZ Cherkasy?

Before kick-off our model rated a Sturm Graz win the most likely single outcome at about 52%, with the full match-result split Sturm Graz 52%, draw 27%, LNZ Cherkasy 21%. The final score 2-6 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Sturm Graz) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Sturm Graz) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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