Paysandu vs Novorizontino Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Paysandu v Novorizontino — Team-Based Signals
Paysandu 1-3 Novorizontino — Actual Match Statistics
Novorizontino got the better of Paysandu 3-1 away from home. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.
Our pre-match lean was Paysandu at 43%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (64%), no to both teams scoring (59%) — went the other way, though.
On the day, Paysandu had 66% of the ball to Novorizontino's 34%, shots finished 18-10, expected goals 1.60 to 1.80.
What was the final score of Paysandu vs Novorizontino?
Paysandu 1-3 Novorizontino in the Brazil - Serie B on 30/07/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Paysandu vs Novorizontino?
Before kick-off our model rated a Paysandu win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Paysandu 43%, draw 32%, Novorizontino 25%. The final score 1-3 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.