Dragons vs Libertad Prediction — Model Probabilities
Every market fairly priced — no value edge at these odds. Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Dragons v Libertad — Team-Based Signals
Dragons 0-2 Libertad — Actual Match Statistics
Libertad saw off Dragons 2-0 away from home.
As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Libertad as the likeliest winner at 47%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (57%), no to both teams scoring (56%), and both reads landed as well.
On the day, Dragons had 36% of the ball to Libertad's 64%, shots finished 7-22.
What was the final score of Dragons vs Libertad?
Dragons 0-2 Libertad in the Ecuador - Cup on 30/07/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Dragons vs Libertad?
Before kick-off our model rated an Libertad win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split Dragons 26%, draw 27%, Libertad 47%. The final score 0-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Libertad), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.