Be1 NFA 3-1 Nevezis — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Lithuania - 1st Division, 30 Jul 2024

📅30/07/2024 · 🕒18:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
44%
1.96
Draw
25%
3.28
Away
31%
3.34
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
58%
1.71
Over 2.5
42%
2.03
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.88
No
52%
1.82
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
2-3 Goals
54%
4-5 Goals
15%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
1/2
3%
1/X
7%
X/1
15%
X/2
11%
X/X
7%
2/1
8%
2/2
17%
2/X
10%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
44%
Home Win
47%
-2.5pp
25%
Draw
27%
-2.4pp
31%
Away Win
26%
+4.9pp
58%
Under 2.5
55%
+3.3pp
42%
Over 2.5
45%
-3.3pp
48%
BTTS Yes
49%
-1.1pp
52%
BTTS No
51%
+1.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Be1 NFA EU Bookmakers 51%
Head to Head
AWAY Nevezis EU Bookmakers 30%
+15% / +15% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +1% / +1%
1.88/0.88 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.05/1.37
+23% / +45% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -7% / +16%
54% Ball Possession 46%
13 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
361 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 263 · 68%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
3.6 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Be1 NFA
0W-1D-2L
AWAY Nevezis
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
57% Ball Possession 43%
17 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 3
04.10.2023 Be1 NFA Be1 NFA 1-1 HT 0-0 Nevezis Nevezis LIT1
26.05.2023 Nevezis Nevezis 3-2 HT 1-1 Be1 NFA Be1 NFA LIT1
05.08.2022 Nevezis Nevezis 1-0 HT 0-0 Be1 NFA Be1 NFA LIT1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Be1 NFA
3-1
AWAY Nevezis
52% Ball Possession 48%
18 Total Shots 10
7 Shots on Target 6
7 Corners 8
2 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Be1 NFA vs Nevezis
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Be1 NFA saw off Nevezis 3-1. Half-time: 2-0.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Be1 NFA as the likeliest winner at 44%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (58%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Be1 NFA had 52% of the ball to Nevezis's 48%, shots finished 18-10.

Coming into the game, across their last 3 meetings in our records, Nevezis led the recent series with 2 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Be1 NFA and 1.67 for Nevezis.

What was the final score of Be1 NFA vs Nevezis?

Be1 NFA 3-1 Nevezis in the Lithuania - 1st Division on 30/07/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Be1 NFA vs Nevezis?

Before kick-off our model rated a Be1 NFA win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Be1 NFA 44%, draw 25%, Nevezis 31%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Be1 NFA) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Be1 NFA) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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