Terengganu 3-2 Negeri Sembilan — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Malaysia - Super League, 30 Jul 2024

📅30/07/2024 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
49%
1.53
Draw
25%
4.08
Away
26%
4.75
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
49%
2.23
Over 2.5
51%
1.59
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
No
53%
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
23%
6+ Goals
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
29%
1/2
10%
1/X
5%
X/1
15%
X/2
6%
X/X
12%
2/1
6%
2/2
10%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
49%
Home Win
61%
-11.6pp
25%
Draw
21%
+3.7pp
26%
Away Win
18%
+7.9pp
49%
Under 2.5
41%
+8.4pp
51%
Over 2.5
59%
-8.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Terengganu EU Bookmakers 65%
Head to Head
AWAY Negeri Sembilan EU Bookmakers 21%
+6% / +4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +12% / +12%
1.98/0.21 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.86/2.02
-2% / +150% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +48% / -22%
55% Ball Possession 45%
13 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
421 · 85% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 263 · 73%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
15.4 Crosses
1.3 Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Terengganu
2W-1D-1L
AWAY Negeri Sembilan
1.75 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
1.71 xG 3.03
47% Ball Possession 53%
16 Total Shots 18
8 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 7
232 Passes 254
72% Pass Accuracy 71%
20 Crosses 26
2 Yellow Cards 2
28.07.2023 Terengganu Terengganu 1-1 HT 0-0 Negeri Sembilan Negeri Sembilan MALES
16.03.2023 Negeri Sembilan Negeri Sembilan 2-1 HT 1-1 Terengganu Terengganu MALES
27.06.2018 Terengganu Terengganu 3-2 HT 1-2 Negeri Sembilan Negeri Sembilan MALES
23.02.2018 Negeri Sembilan Negeri Sembilan 1-2 HT 0-1 Terengganu Terengganu MALES
POST-MATCH Terengganu vs Negeri Sembilan
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Terengganu edged past Negeri Sembilan 3-2. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Terengganu as the likeliest winner at 49%, and the 3-2 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 51% and both teams to score was close to even at 47%.

For context: across their last 4 meetings in our records, Terengganu had the better of it with 2 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.75 goals for Terengganu and 1.50 for Negeri Sembilan.

What was the final score of Terengganu vs Negeri Sembilan?

Terengganu 3-2 Negeri Sembilan in the Malaysia - Super League on 30/07/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Terengganu vs Negeri Sembilan?

Before kick-off our model rated a Terengganu win the most likely single outcome at about 49%, with the full match-result split Terengganu 49%, draw 25%, Negeri Sembilan 26%. The final score 3-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Terengganu), Over 2.5 — while BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Terengganu) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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