Sport Huancayo 1-0 Cesar Vallejo — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Peru - Premier League, 30 Jul 2024

📅30/07/2024 · 🕒23:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
47%
1.89
Draw
25%
3.35
Away
28%
3.63
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
55%
1.71
Over 2.5
45%
2.03
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
1.9
No
54%
1.81
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
33%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
19%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
1/2
5%
1/X
9%
X/1
21%
X/2
13%
X/X
9%
2/1
6%
2/2
10%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
47%
Home Win
49%
-2.2pp
26%
Draw
27%
-1.1pp
28%
Away Win
24%
+3.3pp
55%
Under 2.5
55%
+0.8pp
45%
Over 2.5
45%
-0.8pp
46%
BTTS Yes
49%
-2.9pp
54%
BTTS No
51%
+2.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Sport Huancayo EU Bookmakers 53%
Head to Head
AWAY Cesar Vallejo EU Bookmakers 28%
-9% / -18% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +2% / -3%
1.27/1.31 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.18/1.19
+1% / -43% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -13% / -10%
56% Ball Possession 44%
15 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 4
329 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 238 · 73%
19.9 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 16.7
22.3 Crosses 18.2
2.8 Yellow Cards 3.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Sport Huancayo
2W-2D-2L
AWAY Cesar Vallejo
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
1.67 xG 1.45
49% Ball Possession 51%
14 Total Shots 17
4 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 7
313 Passes 331
78% Pass Accuracy 80%
19 Box Touches 21
16 Crosses 19
2 Yellow Cards 3
08.03.2024 Cesar Vallejo Cesar Vallejo 2-0 HT 0-0 Sport Huancayo Sport Huancayo CON CSA
19.02.2024 Cesar Vallejo Cesar Vallejo 1-1 HT 1-0 Sport Huancayo Sport Huancayo PER
24.06.2023 Sport Huancayo Sport Huancayo 2-0 HT 0-0 Cesar Vallejo Cesar Vallejo PER
26.03.2023 Cesar Vallejo Cesar Vallejo 0-2 HT 0-0 Sport Huancayo Sport Huancayo PER
17.09.2022 Cesar Vallejo Cesar Vallejo 2-1 HT 1-0 Sport Huancayo Sport Huancayo PER
02.05.2022 Sport Huancayo Sport Huancayo 1-1 HT 0-0 Cesar Vallejo Cesar Vallejo PER
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Sport Huancayo
1-0
AWAY Cesar Vallejo
1.29 xG 0.36
59% Ball Possession 41%
18 Total Shots 6
6 Shots on Target 0
8 Corners 2
344 Passes 206
81% Pass Accuracy 73%
21 Box Touches 5
21 Crosses 16
1 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Sport Huancayo vs Cesar Vallejo
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Sport Huancayo squeezed past Cesar Vallejo 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Sport Huancayo as the likeliest winner at 47%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (55%) came in.

On the day, Sport Huancayo had 59% of the ball to Cesar Vallejo's 41%, shots finished 18-6, expected goals 1.29 to 0.36.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Sport Huancayo and 1.00 for Cesar Vallejo.

What was the final score of Sport Huancayo vs Cesar Vallejo?

Sport Huancayo 1-0 Cesar Vallejo in the Peru - Premier League on 30/07/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Sport Huancayo vs Cesar Vallejo?

Before kick-off our model rated a Sport Huancayo win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split Sport Huancayo 47%, draw 26%, Cesar Vallejo 28%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Sport Huancayo), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Sport Huancayo) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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