NSA Sofia (K) 0-1 Pyunik (K) — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Champions League - Women's, 30 Jul 2025

📅30/07/2025 · 🕒12:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home Pick
54%
1.53
Draw
27%
4.08
Away
19%
4.75
Under/Over 2.5
Under
46%
2.23
Over
54%
1.59
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.68
No
47%
2.06
Total Goals
0-1
20%
2-3
44%
4-5
26%
6+
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
33%
1/2
4%
1/X
12%
X/1
13%
X/2
4%
X/X
12%
2/1
8%
2/2
11%
2/X
3%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our Pick
NSA Sofia (K) win — 54%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our Pick is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
54%
Home Win
61%
-7.5pp
27%
Draw
21%
+5.9pp
19%
Away Win
18%
+1.6pp
46%
Under 2.5
41%
+5.2pp
54%
Over 2.5
59%
-5.2pp
53%
BTTS Yes
56%
-3.0pp
47%
BTTS No
44%
+3.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME NSA Sofia (K) EU Bookmakers 65%
Head to Head
AWAY Pyunik (K) EU Bookmakers 21%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
55% Ball Possession 45%
15 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
356 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 280 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME NSA Sofia (K)
0-1
AWAY Pyunik (K)
45% Ball Possession 55%
5 Total Shots 9
2 Shots on Target 5
0 Corners 5
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH NSA Sofia (K) vs Pyunik (K)
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Pyunik (K) squeezed past NSA Sofia (K) 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match lean was NSA Sofia (K) at 54%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 54% and both teams to score was close to even at 53%.

On the day, NSA Sofia (K) had 45% of the ball to Pyunik (K)'s 55%, shots finished 5-9.

What was the final score of NSA Sofia (K) vs Pyunik (K)?

NSA Sofia (K) 0-1 Pyunik (K) in the Champions League - Women's on 30/07/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for NSA Sofia (K) vs Pyunik (K)?

Before kick-off our model rated a NSA Sofia (K) win the most likely single outcome at about 54%, with the full match-result split NSA Sofia (K) 54%, draw 27%, Pyunik (K) 19%. The final score 0-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (NSA Sofia (K)) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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