30/07/2026
·
17:00
Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score
1-0
2nd Score
2-0
Tobol vs FK Panevezys Prediction — Model Probabilities
MODEL
iddaakolik
· Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Under/Over 2.5
Both Teams to Score
Total Goals
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.92
— our 28% vs market 19.0%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
32%
1/2
7%
1/X
5%
X/1
15%
X/2
5%
X/X
10%
2/1
15%
2/2
6%
2/X
5%
PRO
iddaakolik
· Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
✋
Decision
No Bet — Skip This Match
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik
Market
EU Bookmakers
62%
Home Win
72%
19%
Draw
17%
18%
Away Win
10%
50%
Under 2.5
44%
50%
Over 2.5
56%
50%
BTTS Yes
44%
50%
BTTS No
56%
gold — our model
green — our served pick
grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Tobol v FK Panevezys — Team-Based Signals
PREVIEW
Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME
Tobol
EU Bookmakers 77%
Head to Head
AWAY
FK Panevezys
EU Bookmakers 14%
+23% /
+23%
Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations
-5% /
-5%
2.00/0.00
Expected GoalsScored / Conceded
0.00/0.51
-14%
/
–
Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.)
-100%
/
+150%
58%
Ball Possession
42%
15
Total Shots
9
6
Shots on Target
3
5
Corners
4
432 · 84%
PassesSuccessful · Accuracy
232 · 71%
–
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
–
–
Crosses
–
–
Yellow Cards
1.7
Tobol vs FK Panevezys Head-to-Head — Last 1 Meetings
H2H
Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME
Tobol
0W-1D-0L
AWAY
FK Panevezys
1.00
Avg Goals (FT)
1.00
17
Total Shots
9
5
Shots on Target
5
9
Corners
6
2
Yellow Cards
4
The Meetings
Tobol 1-1 FK Panevezys — Actual Match Statistics
RESULT
Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME
Tobol
1-1
AWAY
FK Panevezys
17
Total Shots
7
3
Shots on Target
3
7
Corners
6
2
Yellow Cards
4
FAQ
Tobol vs FK Panevezys
Match summary & frequently asked questions
Tobol and FK Panevezys shared the points in a 1-1 draw in the UEFA Europa Conference League on 30 Jul 2026.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.
On the day, shots finished 17-7.
What was the final score of Tobol vs FK Panevezys?
Tobol 1-1 FK Panevezys in the UEFA Europa Conference League on 30/07/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Tobol vs FK Panevezys?
Before kick-off our model rated a Tobol win the most likely single outcome at about 62%, with the full match-result split Tobol 62%, draw 19%, FK Panevezys 18%. The final score 1-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.
✗ Match Result (Tobol)
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More UEFA Europa Conference League
30 Jul 2026