Municipal Limeno 2-0 INCA-Aruba — Result, Statistics & Match Review — El Salvador - Primera Liga, 30 Jul 2026

📅30/07/2026 · 🕒02:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
60%
1.42
Draw
25%
4.34
Away
15%
6.69
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
62%
2.03
Over 2.5
38%
1.71
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
1.99
No
53%
1.73
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
35%
2-3 Goals
44%
4-5 Goals
15%
6+ Goals
6%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
37%
1/2
4%
1/X
9%
X/1
15%
X/2
4%
X/X
11%
2/1
8%
2/2
6%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
60%
Home Win
67%
-6.5pp
25%
Draw
20%
+4.7pp
14%
Away Win
13%
+1.8pp
62%
Under 2.5
45%
+16.5pp
38%
Over 2.5
55%
-16.5pp
47%
BTTS Yes
46%
+0.6pp
53%
BTTS No
54%
-0.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Municipal Limeno EU Bookmakers 70%
Head to Head
AWAY INCA-Aruba EU Bookmakers 15%
+3% / +2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
+7% / -10% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
57% Ball Possession 43%
14 Total Shots 8
5 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 3
420 · 83% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 257 · 73%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.3 Yellow Cards
POST-MATCH Municipal Limeno vs INCA-Aruba
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Municipal Limeno got the better of INCA-Aruba 2-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we said in the preview, our model had Municipal Limeno as the likeliest winner at 60%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (62%), and that read landed as well.

What was the final score of Municipal Limeno vs INCA-Aruba?

Municipal Limeno 2-0 INCA-Aruba in the El Salvador - Primera Liga on 30/07/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Municipal Limeno vs INCA-Aruba?

Before kick-off our model rated a Municipal Limeno win the most likely single outcome at about 60%, with the full match-result split Municipal Limeno 60%, draw 25%, INCA-Aruba 14%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Municipal Limeno), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Municipal Limeno) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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