Huachipato 2-2 Palestino — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Chile - Premier League, 30 Aug 2024

📅30/08/2024 · 🕒03:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
35%
2.47
Draw
31%
3.28
Away
34%
2.51
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
57%
1.68
Over 2.5
43%
2.07
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
1.85
No
55%
1.85
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
33%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
18%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
1/2
9%
1/X
7%
X/1
11%
X/2
12%
X/X
15%
2/1
7%
2/2
13%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
35%
Home Win
37%
-2.0pp
31%
Draw
27%
+4.1pp
34%
Away Win
36%
-2.1pp
57%
Under 2.5
56%
+1.5pp
43%
Over 2.5
44%
-1.5pp
45%
BTTS Yes
50%
-5.3pp
55%
BTTS No
50%
+5.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Huachipato EU Bookmakers 40%
Head to Head
AWAY Palestino EU Bookmakers 40%
+0% / -9% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +3% / +14%
1.40/1.19 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.18/1.09
+19% / -16% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -1% / -5%
50% Ball Possession 50%
13 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 6
282 · 73% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 292 · 72%
21.8 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 18.0
21.2 Crosses 16.6
2.3 Yellow Cards 2.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Huachipato
1W-2D-3L
AWAY Palestino
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 2.17
0.82 xG 1.17
57% Ball Possession 43%
12 Total Shots 11
3 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 2
309 Passes 220
78% Pass Accuracy 70%
18 Box Touches 19
21 Crosses 13
2 Yellow Cards 2
17.04.2024 Palestino Palestino 2-0 HT 2-0 Huachipato Huachipato ŞİL
15.09.2023 Huachipato Huachipato 2-2 HT 0-1 Palestino Palestino ŞİL
05.11.2022 Palestino Palestino 5-0 HT 2-0 Huachipato Huachipato ŞİL
29.05.2022 Huachipato Huachipato 2-1 HT 1-1 Palestino Palestino ŞİL
25.09.2021 Huachipato Huachipato 1-1 HT 1-1 Palestino Palestino ŞİL
15.07.2021 Palestino Palestino 2-0 HT 1-0 Huachipato Huachipato ŞİL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Huachipato
2-2
AWAY Palestino
0.72 xG 1.60
52% Ball Possession 48%
16 Total Shots 18
7 Shots on Target 5
3 Corners 4
275 Passes 246
71% Pass Accuracy 71%
24 Box Touches 15
18 Crosses 17
1 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Huachipato vs Palestino
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Huachipato and Palestino couldn't be separated, finishing 2-2. Half-time: 1-1.

We called this one close before kick-off — 35% / 31% / 34% — and a draw is about as on-script as that read gets. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (57%), no to both teams scoring (55%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Huachipato had 52% of the ball to Palestino's 48%, shots finished 16-18, expected goals 0.72 to 1.60.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Palestino led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Huachipato and 2.17 for Palestino.

What was the final score of Huachipato vs Palestino?

Huachipato 2-2 Palestino in the Chile - Premier League on 30/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Huachipato vs Palestino?

Before kick-off our model rated a Huachipato win the most likely single outcome at about 35%, with the full match-result split Huachipato 35%, draw 31%, Palestino 34%. The final score 2-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Huachipato) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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