FK Sarajevo 2-0 Radnik Bijeljina — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Bosnia and Herzegovina - Premier League, 30 Aug 2024

📅30/08/2024 · 🕒22:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 3-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
52%
1.57
Draw
23%
3.8
Away
25%
4.75
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
47%
1.97
Over 2.5
53%
1.75
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.81
No
52%
1.9
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
2-3 Goals
38%
4-5 Goals
32%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
27%
1/2
4%
1/X
6%
X/1
13%
X/2
6%
X/X
11%
2/1
12%
2/2
15%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: BTTS No ★★ Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
52%
Home Win
59%
-7.3pp
23%
Draw
23%
+0.4pp
25%
Away Win
18%
+6.9pp
47%
Under 2.5
47%
-0.2pp
53%
Over 2.5
53%
+0.2pp
48%
BTTS Yes
51%
-2.8pp
52%
BTTS No
49%
+2.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME FK Sarajevo EU Bookmakers 64%
Head to Head
AWAY Radnik Bijeljina EU Bookmakers 21%
+1% / +4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
1.78/0.74 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.79/1.00
-4% / +1% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -2% / +46%
53% Ball Possession 47%
12 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
386 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 312 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.4 Yellow Cards 3.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME FK Sarajevo
5W-0D-0L
AWAY Radnik Bijeljina
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.40
56% Ball Possession 44%
8 Total Shots 8
4 Shots on Target 2
4 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 3
06.05.2022 FK Sarajevo FK Sarajevo 1-0 HT 1-0 Radnik Bijeljina Radnik Bijeljina BOSN
15.08.2021 FK Sarajevo FK Sarajevo 2-1 HT 2-0 Radnik Bijeljina Radnik Bijeljina BOSN
23.05.2021 FK Sarajevo FK Sarajevo 3-0 HT 0-0 Radnik Bijeljina Radnik Bijeljina BOSN
02.12.2020 FK Sarajevo FK Sarajevo 2-1 HT 0-0 Radnik Bijeljina Radnik Bijeljina BOSN
31.08.2020 Radnik Bijeljina Radnik Bijeljina 0-2 HT 0-2 FK Sarajevo FK Sarajevo BOSN
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME FK Sarajevo
2-0
AWAY Radnik Bijeljina
55% Ball Possession 45%
11 Total Shots 5
5 Shots on Target 0
8 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH FK Sarajevo vs Radnik Bijeljina
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

FK Sarajevo saw off Radnik Bijeljina 2-0. Half-time: 1-0.

As we said in the preview, our model had FK Sarajevo as the likeliest winner at 52%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 53% and both teams to score was close to even at 48%.

On the day, FK Sarajevo had 55% of the ball to Radnik Bijeljina's 45%, shots finished 11-5.

For context: across their last 5 meetings in our records, FK Sarajevo had the better of it with 5 wins. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for FK Sarajevo and 0.40 for Radnik Bijeljina.

What was the final score of FK Sarajevo vs Radnik Bijeljina?

FK Sarajevo 2-0 Radnik Bijeljina in the Bosnia and Herzegovina - Premier League on 30/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for FK Sarajevo vs Radnik Bijeljina?

Before kick-off our model rated a FK Sarajevo win the most likely single outcome at about 52%, with the full match-result split FK Sarajevo 52%, draw 23%, Radnik Bijeljina 25%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (FK Sarajevo), BTTS No — while Over 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (FK Sarajevo) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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