Aarhus Fremad 1-1 FC Helsingor — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Denmark - 2nd Division, 30 Aug 2024

📅30/08/2024 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
40%
1.96
Draw
30%
3.64
Away
30%
3.08
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
2.21
Over 2.5
48%
1.6
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.56
No
50%
2.27
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
26%
4.35
2-3 Goals
43%
1.88
4-5 Goals
22%
2.96
6+ Goals
9%
8.88
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 4.35 — our 26% vs market 18.1%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
1/2
4%
1/X
12%
X/1
12%
X/2
12%
X/X
11%
2/1
6%
2/2
14%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: BTTS No ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
40%
Home Win
47%
-7.1pp
30%
Draw
24%
+5.7pp
30%
Away Win
29%
+1.4pp
52%
Under 2.5
41%
+10.9pp
48%
Over 2.5
59%
-10.9pp
50%
BTTS Yes
60%
-10.5pp
50%
BTTS No
40%
+10.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Aarhus Fremad EU Bookmakers 51%
Head to Head
AWAY FC Helsingor EU Bookmakers 32%
-13% / -18% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -35% / -35%
1.70/1.58 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.51/1.97
+19% / -33% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -56% / -31%
53% Ball Possession 47%
12 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
377 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 311 · 79%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.6 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Aarhus Fremad
1W-0D-1L
AWAY FC Helsingor
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
27.09.2023 Aarhus Fremad Aarhus Fremad 1-2 HT 0-1 FC Helsingor FC Helsingor DAK
20.06.2020 Aarhus Fremad Aarhus Fremad 1-0 HT 0-0 FC Helsingor FC Helsingor DAN2
POST-MATCH Aarhus Fremad vs FC Helsingor
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Aarhus Fremad and FC Helsingor shared the points in a 1-1 draw. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match split (40% / 30% / 30%) said coin-flip, and the draw proved it right.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Aarhus Fremad and 1.00 for FC Helsingor.

What was the final score of Aarhus Fremad vs FC Helsingor?

Aarhus Fremad 1-1 FC Helsingor in the Denmark - 2nd Division on 30/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Aarhus Fremad vs FC Helsingor?

Before kick-off our model rated a Aarhus Fremad win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Aarhus Fremad 40%, draw 30%, FC Helsingor 30%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Aarhus Fremad) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Aarhus Fremad) ✓ Under 2.5
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DAN2 More Denmark - 2nd Division
30 Aug 2024
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