Cuniburo FC 1-2 Independiente Del Valle — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Ecuador - Cup, 30 Aug 2024

📅30/08/2024 · 🕒02:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
30%
4.48
Draw
20%
3.54
Away
50%
1.69
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
1.75
Over 2.5
50%
1.97
Both Teams to Score
Yes
39%
1.9
No
61%
1.81
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
28%
2-3 Goals
46%
4-5 Goals
19%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
1/2
4%
1/X
4%
X/1
9%
X/2
14%
X/X
8%
2/1
6%
2/2
32%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
30%
Home Win
19%
+10.7pp
20%
Draw
25%
-5.1pp
50%
Away Win
55%
-5.6pp
50%
Under 2.5
53%
-3.5pp
50%
Over 2.5
47%
+3.5pp
39%
BTTS Yes
49%
-9.5pp
61%
BTTS No
51%
+9.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Cuniburo FC EU Bookmakers 22%
Head to Head
AWAY Independiente Del Valle EU Bookmakers 59%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -17% / -17%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +34% / -56%
43% Ball Possession 57%
10 Total Shots 13
3 Shots on Target 5
3 Corners 6
268 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 463 · 84%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards 3.0
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Cuniburo FC
1-2
AWAY Independiente Del Valle
39% Ball Possession 61%
9 Total Shots 6
5 Shots on Target 2
4 Corners 7
1 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Cuniburo FC vs Independiente Del Valle
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Independiente Del Valle edged past Cuniburo FC 2-1 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Independiente Del Valle as the likeliest winner at 50%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — no to both teams scoring (61%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Cuniburo FC had 39% of the ball to Independiente Del Valle's 61%, shots finished 9-6.

What was the final score of Cuniburo FC vs Independiente Del Valle?

Cuniburo FC 1-2 Independiente Del Valle in the Ecuador - Cup on 30/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Cuniburo FC vs Independiente Del Valle?

Before kick-off our model rated an Independiente Del Valle win the most likely single outcome at about 50%, with the full match-result split Cuniburo FC 30%, draw 20%, Independiente Del Valle 50%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Independiente Del Valle) — while BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Independiente Del Valle) ✗ BTTS No
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