Maghreb Fes 1-0 Wydad Casablanca — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Morocco - League, 30 Aug 2024

📅30/08/2024 · 🕒23:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
26%
5.4
Draw
29%
3.45
Away
45%
1.6
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
56%
1.51
Over 2.5
44%
2.43
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%
2.51
No
56%
1.46
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
33%
2.22
2-3 Goals
41%
1.8
4-5 Goals
18%
5.57
6+ Goals
8%
34.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
8%
1/2
9%
1/X
5%
X/1
10%
X/2
19%
X/X
16%
2/1
7%
2/2
17%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
26%
Home Win
16%
+9.9pp
29%
Draw
26%
+3.4pp
45%
Away Win
58%
-13.3pp
56%
Under 2.5
62%
-6.7pp
44%
Over 2.5
38%
+6.7pp
44%
BTTS Yes
36%
+8.2pp
56%
BTTS No
64%
-8.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Maghreb Fes EU Bookmakers 18%
Head to Head
AWAY Wydad Casablanca EU Bookmakers 62%
-3% / -3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -2% / -5%
0.89/1.48 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.35/0.70
+24% / -3% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -15% / +24%
45% Ball Possession 55%
8 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 5
3 Corners 5
272 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 292 · 75%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.9 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Maghreb Fes
0W-4D-2L
AWAY Wydad Casablanca
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
45% Ball Possession 55%
8 Total Shots 12
2 Shots on Target 6
3 Corners 3
3 Yellow Cards 2
28.04.2024 Maghreb Fes Maghreb Fes 1-1 HT 0-1 Wydad Casablanca Wydad Casablanca FAS
11.01.2024 Wydad Casablanca Wydad Casablanca 1-1 HT 1-1 Maghreb Fes Maghreb Fes FAS
17.12.2023 Wydad Casablanca Wydad Casablanca 0-0 HT 0-0 Maghreb Fes Maghreb Fes FAS
23.06.2023 Maghreb Fes Maghreb Fes 0-2 HT 0-1 Wydad Casablanca Wydad Casablanca FAS
25.01.2023 Wydad Casablanca Wydad Casablanca 1-0 HT 0-0 Maghreb Fes Maghreb Fes FAS
18.05.2022 Maghreb Fes Maghreb Fes 1-1 HT 1-1 Wydad Casablanca Wydad Casablanca FAS
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Maghreb Fes
1-0
AWAY Wydad Casablanca
36% Ball Possession 64%
4 Total Shots 14
2 Shots on Target 7
1 Corners 12
3 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Maghreb Fes vs Wydad Casablanca
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Maghreb Fes nicked a narrow win over Wydad Casablanca 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match lean was Wydad Casablanca at 45%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (56%), no to both teams scoring (56%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Maghreb Fes had 36% of the ball to Wydad Casablanca's 64%, shots finished 4-14.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Wydad Casablanca led the recent series with 2 wins, 4 drawn. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Maghreb Fes and 1.00 for Wydad Casablanca.

What was the final score of Maghreb Fes vs Wydad Casablanca?

Maghreb Fes 1-0 Wydad Casablanca in the Morocco - League on 30/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Maghreb Fes vs Wydad Casablanca?

Before kick-off our model rated an Wydad Casablanca win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Maghreb Fes 26%, draw 29%, Wydad Casablanca 45%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Wydad Casablanca) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Wydad Casablanca) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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