Ajax Cape Town 1-0 Venda FC — Result, Statistics & Match Review — South Afrika - 1st Division, 30 Aug 2024

📅30/08/2024 · 🕒20:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
52%
1.82
Draw
23%
3.28
Away
25%
4.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
56%
1.54
Over 2.5
44%
2.33
Both Teams to Score
Yes
41%
2.16
No
59%
1.61
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
30%
2-3 Goals
46%
4-5 Goals
17%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
27%
1/2
5%
1/X
6%
X/1
19%
X/2
8%
X/X
10%
2/1
6%
2/2
12%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
53%
Home Win
51%
+1.3pp
23%
Draw
27%
-4.6pp
25%
Away Win
21%
+3.4pp
56%
Under 2.5
61%
-5.4pp
44%
Over 2.5
39%
+5.4pp
41%
BTTS Yes
42%
-0.7pp
59%
BTTS No
58%
+0.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Ajax Cape Town EU Bookmakers 55%
Head to Head
AWAY Venda FC EU Bookmakers 24%
+9% / +9% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -7% / +1%
1.76/1.02 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.70/1.39
+33% / -20% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -16% / -10%
54% Ball Possession 46%
15 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
362 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 242 · 72%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.0 Yellow Cards 1.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Ajax Cape Town
1W-0D-1L
AWAY Venda FC
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
59% Ball Possession 41%
15 Total Shots 7
4 Shots on Target 2
6 Corners 8
3 Yellow Cards 2
29.04.2023 Venda FC 2-1 HT 1-1 Ajax Cape Town Ajax Cape Town GAF1
05.11.2022 Ajax Cape Town Ajax Cape Town 2-1 HT 0-1 Venda FC GAF1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Ajax Cape Town
1-0
AWAY Venda FC
58% Ball Possession 42%
17 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 6
7 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 5
POST-MATCH Ajax Cape Town vs Venda FC
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Ajax Cape Town nicked a narrow win over Venda FC 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Ajax Cape Town as the likeliest winner at 53%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (56%), no to both teams scoring (59%) came in.

On the day, Ajax Cape Town had 58% of the ball to Venda FC's 42%, shots finished 17-9.

Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Ajax Cape Town and 1.50 for Venda FC.

What was the final score of Ajax Cape Town vs Venda FC?

Ajax Cape Town 1-0 Venda FC in the South Afrika - 1st Division on 30/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Ajax Cape Town vs Venda FC?

Before kick-off our model rated a Ajax Cape Town win the most likely single outcome at about 53%, with the full match-result split Ajax Cape Town 53%, draw 23%, Venda FC 25%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Ajax Cape Town), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Ajax Cape Town) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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