Haverfordwest County 3-0 Newtown — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Wales - Premier League, 30 Aug 2024

Haverfordwest County
3-0 HT 1-0
Newtown
📅30/08/2024 · 🕒21:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✗ 2nd Score 2-0 ✗
Wales - Premier League – 2024/2025

Haverfordwest County vs Newtown Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
52%
2.0
Draw
23%
3.35
Away
25%
3.25
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
54%
1.82
Over 2.5
46%
1.9
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
1.75
No
55%
1.96
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
35%
3.21
2-3 Goals
39%
1.78
4-5 Goals
20%
3.66
6+ Goals
6%
15.1
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.21 — our 35% vs market 25.6%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
27%
1/2
8%
1/X
4%
X/1
18%
X/2
6%
X/X
13%
2/1
7%
2/2
11%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Under 2.5 ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
52%
Home Win
46%
+6.1pp
23%
Draw
26%
-3.2pp
24%
Away Win
27%
-2.9pp
54%
Under 2.5
51%
+2.7pp
46%
Over 2.5
49%
-2.7pp
45%
BTTS Yes
53%
-8.1pp
55%
BTTS No
47%
+8.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Haverfordwest County v Newtown — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Haverfordwest County EU Bookmakers 50%
Head to Head
AWAY Newtown EU Bookmakers 31%
+7% / +14% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -7% / -2%
1.19/0.71 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.03/1.25
-27% / +60% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -10% / +21%
52% Ball Possession 48%
11 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
346 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 296 · 74%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
– Yellow Cards 2.0

Haverfordwest County vs Newtown Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Haverfordwest County
0W-3D-3L
AWAY Newtown
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
49% Ball Possession 51%
8 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
0 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
28.10.2023 Newtown Newtown 1-1 HT 1-1 Haverfordwest County Haverfordwest County GAL
09.09.2023 Haverfordwest County Haverfordwest County 0-4 HT 0-2 Newtown Newtown GAL
13.05.2023 Newtown Newtown 1-1 HT 1-1 Haverfordwest County Haverfordwest County GAL
11.12.2022 Newtown Newtown 2-0 HT 1-0 Haverfordwest County Haverfordwest County GAL
03.09.2022 Haverfordwest County Haverfordwest County 2-3 HT 2-1 Newtown Newtown GAL
22.01.2022 Newtown Newtown 1-1 HT 0-1 Haverfordwest County Haverfordwest County GAL
POST-MATCH Haverfordwest County vs Newtown
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Haverfordwest County cruised past Newtown 3-0. Half-time: 1-0.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Haverfordwest County as the likeliest winner at 52%, and the 3-0 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — no to both teams scoring (55%) came in.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Newtown led the recent series with 3 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Haverfordwest County and 2.00 for Newtown.

What was the final score of Haverfordwest County vs Newtown?

Haverfordwest County 3-0 Newtown in the Wales - Premier League on 30/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Haverfordwest County vs Newtown?

Before kick-off our model rated a Haverfordwest County win the most likely single outcome at about 52%, with the full match-result split Haverfordwest County 52%, draw 23%, Newtown 24%. The final score 3-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Haverfordwest County), BTTS No — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Haverfordwest County) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →