Radnik Sesvete 3-2 Croatia Zmijavci — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Croatia - 2.HNL, 30 Aug 2024

📅30/08/2024 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
43%
1.86
Draw
25%
3.45
Away
32%
3.63
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
57%
1.68
Over 2.5
43%
2.07
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
1.95
No
55%
1.76
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
31%
2-3 Goals
38%
4-5 Goals
21%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
1/2
4%
1/X
4%
X/1
17%
X/2
11%
X/X
14%
2/1
7%
2/2
16%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
43%
Home Win
50%
-6.7pp
25%
Draw
26%
-0.5pp
32%
Away Win
24%
+7.3pp
57%
Under 2.5
56%
+1.8pp
43%
Over 2.5
44%
-1.8pp
45%
BTTS Yes
47%
-2.0pp
55%
BTTS No
53%
+2.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Radnik Sesvete EU Bookmakers 54%
Head to Head
AWAY Croatia Zmijavci EU Bookmakers 28%
+2% / +2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -7% / -7%
1.65/1.19 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.57/1.57
+22% / +0% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -50% / -13%
52% Ball Possession 48%
11 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
343 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 293 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.6 Yellow Cards 2.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Radnik Sesvete
0W-0D-1L
AWAY Croatia Zmijavci
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 3.00
01.06.2024 Croatia Zmijavci Croatia Zmijavci 3-1 HT 2-0 Radnik Sesvete Radnik Sesvete HIR2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Radnik Sesvete
3-2
AWAY Croatia Zmijavci
41% Ball Possession 59%
11 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 2
4 Corners 6
7 Yellow Cards 5
POST-MATCH Radnik Sesvete vs Croatia Zmijavci
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Radnik Sesvete squeezed past Croatia Zmijavci 3-2. Half-time: 2-0. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Radnik Sesvete as the likeliest winner at 43%, and the 3-2 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (57%), no to both teams scoring (55%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Radnik Sesvete had 41% of the ball to Croatia Zmijavci's 59%, shots finished 11-9.

What was the final score of Radnik Sesvete vs Croatia Zmijavci?

Radnik Sesvete 3-2 Croatia Zmijavci in the Croatia - 2.HNL on 30/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Radnik Sesvete vs Croatia Zmijavci?

Before kick-off our model rated a Radnik Sesvete win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Radnik Sesvete 43%, draw 25%, Croatia Zmijavci 32%. The final score 3-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Radnik Sesvete) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Radnik Sesvete) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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