HNK Gorica vs Sibenik Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
HNK Gorica v Sibenik — Team-Based Signals
HNK Gorica vs Sibenik Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
0-4
HT 0-4
HNK Gorica
HIR
0-3
HT 0-1
Sibenik
HIR
2-0
HT 0-0
HNK Gorica
HIRK
1-1
HT 0-1
HNK Gorica
HIR
0-0
HT 0-0
Sibenik
HIR
0-1
HT 0-1
HNK Gorica
HIR
HNK Gorica 2-1 Sibenik — Actual Match Statistics
HNK Gorica squeezed past Sibenik 2-1. Half-time: 1-0.
As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had HNK Gorica as the likeliest winner at 42%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (55%) — went the other way, though.
On the day, HNK Gorica had 40% of the ball to Sibenik's 60%, shots finished 5-14, expected goals 0.35 to 0.91 — on chances, Sibenik could feel hard done by.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for HNK Gorica and 1.00 for Sibenik.
What was the final score of HNK Gorica vs Sibenik?
HNK Gorica 2-1 Sibenik in the Croatia - 1. HNL on 30/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for HNK Gorica vs Sibenik?
Before kick-off our model rated a HNK Gorica win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split HNK Gorica 42%, draw 29%, Sibenik 29%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (HNK Gorica) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.