Derby County U21 1-0 Newcastle United U21 — Result, Statistics & Match Review — INGPL2, 30 Aug 2024

Derby County U21
1 - 0 HT 1 - 0
Newcastle United U21
📅30/08/2024 · 🕒21:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 ✗ 2nd Score 1-3 ✗
INGPL2 – 2024/2025

Derby County U21 vs Newcastle United U21 Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Authentic Intelligence™ · Probability per market
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
31%
2.94
Draw
24%
3.8
Away
45%
1.96
Under/Over 2.5
Under
31%
2.63
Over Pick
69%
1.46
Both Teams to Score
Yes
65%
1.39
No
35%
2.77
Total Goals
0-1
14%
2-3
42%
4-5
32%
6+
12%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
1/2
3%
1/X
6%
X/1
10%
X/2
14%
X/X
13%
2/1
3%
2/2
28%
2/X
5%
Our Pick = the most likely outcome.

Derby County U21 v Newcastle United U21 — Team-Based Signals

SIGNALS Team Signals — the why behind the numbers
iddaakolik predictions — not real match figures
HOME Derby County U21 The Market 34%
Head to Head
AWAY Newcastle United U21 The Market 51%
Bad Team Performanceagainst Market Expectation Average
1.38 xG Scorediddaakolik model prediction 1.31
2.13 xG Concedediddaakolik model prediction 1.54
Great Attack Strength –
Average Defense Strength –
48% Ball Possession 52%
14 Total Shots 12
6 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
364 · 83% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 240 · 77%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
– Yellow Cards –

Derby County U21 1-0 Newcastle United U21 — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Derby County U21
1 - 0
AWAY Newcastle United U21
46% Ball Possession 54%
3 Total Shots 9
3 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 7
296 Passes 371
76% Pass Accuracy 81%
12 Crosses 27
2 Yellow Cards 2
REVIEW Derby County U21 vs Newcastle United U21
IDDAAKOLIK POST-MATCH REVIEW

Derby County U21 nicked a narrow win over Newcastle United U21 1-0.

Our pre-match lean was Newcastle United U21 at 45%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. For what it's worth, the market was even more convinced — 1.96, about 51% — so the upset beat the price as well as us. The one blemish: over 2.5 goals (69%), both teams to score (65%) never looked like landing.

Under the surface, Derby County U21 had 46% of the ball to Newcastle United U21's 54%, shots finished 3-9.

Derby County U21 vs Newcastle United U21 Result & Final Score

Derby County U21 1 - 0 Newcastle United U21 in the INGPL2 on 30/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

Derby County U21 vs Newcastle United U21 Prediction vs Result

Before kick-off our model rated an Newcastle United U21 win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Derby County U21 31%, draw 24%, Newcastle United U21 45%. The final score 1-0 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Newcastle United U21) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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