Pyramids 1-0 Masr — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Egypt - Cup, 30 Aug 2024

📅30/08/2024 · 🕒21:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
45%
1.61
Draw
29%
3.54
Away
26%
4.85
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
59%
1.68
Over 2.5
41%
2.07
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
2.09
No
54%
1.66
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✓
34%
2.74
2-3 Goals
38%
1.77
4-5 Goals
19%
4.27
6+ Goals
9%
21.25
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.74 — our 34% vs market 30.5%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
1/2
5%
1/X
8%
X/1
17%
X/2
10%
X/X
14%
2/1
6%
2/2
10%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
45%
Home Win
58%
-13.2pp
30%
Draw
25%
+4.8pp
26%
Away Win
17%
+8.4pp
59%
Under 2.5
56%
+3.1pp
41%
Over 2.5
44%
-3.1pp
46%
BTTS Yes
44%
+2.3pp
54%
BTTS No
56%
-2.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Pyramids EU Bookmakers 62%
Head to Head
AWAY Masr EU Bookmakers 21%
+20% / +20% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +64% / +64%
3.35/0.32 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.00/1.00
+75% / +89% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +150% / +68%
56% Ball Possession 44%
13 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
406 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 260 · 72%
36.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
25.0 Crosses
1.6 Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Pyramids
3W-1D-0L
AWAY Masr
1.25 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
2.32 xG 0.62
66% Ball Possession 34%
18 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 2
9 Corners 3
467 Passes 209
85% Pass Accuracy 70%
26 Box Touches 8
33 Crosses 8
3 Yellow Cards 1
04.08.2024 Pyramids Pyramids 2-1 HT 1-0 Masr MSR
14.02.2024 Masr 0-0 HT 0-0 Pyramids Pyramids MSR
07.10.2020 Pyramids Pyramids 1-0 HT 0-0 Masr MSR
29.01.2020 Masr 1-2 HT 1-1 Pyramids Pyramids MSR
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Pyramids
1-0
AWAY Masr
0.76 xG 0.84
66% Ball Possession 34%
16 Total Shots 7
6 Shots on Target 1
6 Corners 3
417 Passes 165
87% Pass Accuracy 67%
29 Box Touches 17
19 Crosses 10
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Pyramids vs Masr
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Pyramids edged past Masr 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Pyramids as the likeliest winner at 45%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (59%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Pyramids had 66% of the ball to Masr's 34%, shots finished 16-7, expected goals 0.76 to 0.84.

For context: across their last 4 meetings in our records, Pyramids had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.25 goals for Pyramids and 0.50 for Masr.

What was the final score of Pyramids vs Masr?

Pyramids 1-0 Masr in the Egypt - Cup on 30/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Pyramids vs Masr?

Before kick-off our model rated a Pyramids win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Pyramids 45%, draw 30%, Masr 26%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Pyramids), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Pyramids) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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