Otelul Galati 2-0 Sepsi — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Romania - 1st Division, 30 Aug 2024

📅30/08/2024 · 🕒21:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
37%
2.46
Draw
33%
3.04
Away
30%
2.79
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
62%
1.6
Over 2.5
38%
2.21
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
1.9
No
55%
1.81
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
32%
2.56
2-3 Goals
41%
1.77
4-5 Goals
18%
4.62
6+ Goals
9%
25.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
1/2
7%
1/X
9%
X/1
15%
X/2
11%
X/X
15%
2/1
8%
2/2
12%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
37%
Home Win
37%
-0.2pp
33%
Draw
30%
+2.8pp
30%
Away Win
33%
-2.5pp
62%
Under 2.5
59%
+3.1pp
38%
Over 2.5
41%
-3.1pp
45%
BTTS Yes
49%
-3.6pp
55%
BTTS No
51%
+3.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Otelul Galati EU Bookmakers 41%
Head to Head
AWAY Sepsi EU Bookmakers 36%
+0% / +8% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -10% / -21%
0.96/0.80 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.88/1.42
-14% / +30% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -16% / -23%
51% Ball Possession 49%
12 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
327 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 256 · 73%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 13.0
Crosses 13.0
2.0 Yellow Cards 2.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Otelul Galati
0W-1D-1L
AWAY Sepsi
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
42% Ball Possession 58%
14 Total Shots 12
6 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 10
3 Yellow Cards 4
12.12.2023 Otelul Galati Otelul Galati 2-3 HT 1-1 Sepsi Sepsi ROM
07.08.2023 Sepsi Sepsi 1-1 HT 0-1 Otelul Galati Otelul Galati ROM
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Otelul Galati
2-0
AWAY Sepsi
2.72 xG 0.81
47% Ball Possession 53%
12 Total Shots 13
6 Shots on Target 2
2 Corners 5
241 Passes 264
66% Pass Accuracy 67%
16 Box Touches 21
11 Crosses 23
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Otelul Galati vs Sepsi
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Otelul Galati saw off Sepsi 2-0.

We called this one close before kick-off — 37% / 33% / 30% — and on the day Otelul Galati made the difference. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (62%), no to both teams scoring (55%) came in.

On the day, Otelul Galati had 47% of the ball to Sepsi's 53%, shots finished 12-13, expected goals 2.72 to 0.81.

Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, Sepsi led the recent series with 1 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Otelul Galati and 2.00 for Sepsi.

What was the final score of Otelul Galati vs Sepsi?

Otelul Galati 2-0 Sepsi in the Romania - 1st Division on 30/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Otelul Galati vs Sepsi?

Before kick-off our model rated a Otelul Galati win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split Otelul Galati 37%, draw 33%, Sepsi 30%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Otelul Galati), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Otelul Galati) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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