IMT Novi Beograd 3-1 Radnicki Nis — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Serbia - Super League, 30 Aug 2024

📅30/08/2024 · 🕒19:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
41%
2.18
Draw
25%
3.18
Away
34%
3.02
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
55%
1.74
Over 2.5
45%
2.0
Both Teams to Score
Yes
41%
1.81
No
59%
1.9
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
32%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
21%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
1/2
5%
1/X
9%
X/1
14%
X/2
12%
X/X
9%
2/1
6%
2/2
17%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
41%
Home Win
42%
-1.0pp
25%
Draw
28%
-3.5pp
34%
Away Win
30%
+4.5pp
55%
Under 2.5
54%
+1.6pp
45%
Over 2.5
46%
-1.6pp
41%
BTTS Yes
51%
-9.9pp
59%
BTTS No
49%
+9.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME IMT Novi Beograd EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY Radnicki Nis EU Bookmakers 33%
+6% / +6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -6% / -8%
1.42/1.06 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.14/1.34
-30% / +17% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +10% / -8%
52% Ball Possession 48%
12 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
281 · 73% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 252 · 70%
26.4 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 21.4
20.3 Crosses 19.6
2.7 Yellow Cards 2.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME IMT Novi Beograd
0W-1D-2L
AWAY Radnicki Nis
0.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
1.13 xG 1.28
49% Ball Possession 51%
13 Total Shots 13
2 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 5
289 Passes 306
73% Pass Accuracy 76%
21 Box Touches 22
22 Crosses 24
1 Yellow Cards 4
13.05.2024 Radnicki Nis Radnicki Nis 0-0 HT 0-0 IMT Novi Beograd IMT Novi Beograd SIRP
23.02.2024 IMT Novi Beograd IMT Novi Beograd 0-3 HT 0-1 Radnicki Nis Radnicki Nis SIRP
17.09.2023 Radnicki Nis Radnicki Nis 1-0 HT 1-0 IMT Novi Beograd IMT Novi Beograd SIRP
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME IMT Novi Beograd
3-1
AWAY Radnicki Nis
1.00 xG 0.98
35% Ball Possession 65%
11 Total Shots 13
5 Shots on Target 3
8 Corners 4
171 Passes 381
66% Pass Accuracy 78%
17 Box Touches 27
15 Crosses 10
2 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH IMT Novi Beograd vs Radnicki Nis
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

IMT Novi Beograd got the better of Radnicki Nis 3-1. Half-time: 1-0.

As we said in the preview, our model had IMT Novi Beograd as the likeliest winner at 41%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (55%), no to both teams scoring (59%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, IMT Novi Beograd had 35% of the ball to Radnicki Nis's 65%, shots finished 11-13, expected goals 1.00 to 0.98.

Coming into the game, across their last 3 meetings in our records, Radnicki Nis led the recent series with 2 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.00 goals for IMT Novi Beograd and 1.33 for Radnicki Nis.

What was the final score of IMT Novi Beograd vs Radnicki Nis?

IMT Novi Beograd 3-1 Radnicki Nis in the Serbia - Super League on 30/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for IMT Novi Beograd vs Radnicki Nis?

Before kick-off our model rated a IMT Novi Beograd win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split IMT Novi Beograd 41%, draw 25%, Radnicki Nis 34%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (IMT Novi Beograd) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (IMT Novi Beograd) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
SIRP More Serbia - Super League
30 Aug 2024
21:30 Cukaricki Stankom vs Tekstilac Odzaci Analysis →