Nafta 5-2 Domzale — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Slovenia - 1st Division, 30 Aug 2024

📅30/08/2024 · 🕒21:15 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
38%
2.84
Draw
27%
3.18
Away
35%
2.23
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
55%
1.71
Over 2.5
45%
2.03
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.82
No
51%
1.88
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
2.86
2-3 Goals
43%
1.77
4-5 Goals
21%
4.08
6+ Goals
9%
19.35
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
1/2
7%
1/X
5%
X/1
10%
X/2
13%
X/X
14%
2/1
6%
2/2
15%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Under 2.5 ★★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
38%
Home Win
31%
+6.2pp
27%
Draw
28%
-0.4pp
35%
Away Win
41%
-5.9pp
55%
Under 2.5
55%
+0.2pp
45%
Over 2.5
45%
-0.2pp
49%
BTTS Yes
51%
-2.2pp
51%
BTTS No
49%
+2.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Nafta EU Bookmakers 35%
Head to Head
AWAY Domzale EU Bookmakers 45%
+51% / +51% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -1% / -3%
2.00/1.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.46/1.14
+76% / +32% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +13% / -7%
48% Ball Possession 52%
12 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
284 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 258 · 75%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
3.0 Yellow Cards 2.2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Nafta
5-2
AWAY Domzale
48% Ball Possession 52%
11 Total Shots 9
9 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 7
POST-MATCH Nafta vs Domzale
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Nafta ran out comfortable winners over Domzale 5-2. The game was level at 2-2 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it. 7 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

We called this one close before kick-off — 38% / 27% / 35% — and on the day Nafta made the difference. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (55%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Nafta had 48% of the ball to Domzale's 52%, shots finished 11-9.

What was the final score of Nafta vs Domzale?

Nafta 5-2 Domzale in the Slovenia - 1st Division on 30/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Nafta vs Domzale?

Before kick-off our model rated a Nafta win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Nafta 38%, draw 27%, Domzale 35%. The final score 5-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Nafta) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Nafta) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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