Yunnan Yukun 1-1 Changchun YaTai — Result, Statistics & Match Review — China Halk Cumhuriyeti - Super League, 30 Aug 2025

Yunnan Yukun
1-1 HT 0-1
Changchun YaTai
📅30/08/2025 · 🕒15:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 ✗ 2nd Score 2-2 ✗
China Halk Cumhuriyeti - Super League – 2025

Yunnan Yukun vs Changchun YaTai Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
53%
1.66
Draw
24%
4.08
Away
23%
3.83
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
42%
2.61
Over 2.5
58%
1.45
Both Teams to Score
Yes
57%
1.46
No
43%
2.51
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
22%
5.49
2-3 Goals
42%
1.98
4-5 Goals
24%
2.45
6+ Goals
12%
5.42
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
30%
2.07
1/2
4%
34.5
1/X
8%
13.9
X/1
14%
4.5
X/2
11%
9.42
X/X
11%
6.85
2/1 EV+ ✗
8%
18.3
2/2
8%
6.32
2/X
6%
14.9
Value flag · 2/1 at 18.3 — our 8% vs market 3.0%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
53%
Home Win
56%
-3.4pp
25%
Draw
21%
+3.3pp
23%
Away Win
23%
+0.1pp
42%
Under 2.5
35%
+6.9pp
58%
Over 2.5
65%
-6.9pp
57%
BTTS Yes
64%
-7.0pp
43%
BTTS No
36%
+7.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Yunnan Yukun v Changchun YaTai — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Yunnan Yukun EU Bookmakers 60%
Head to Head
AWAY Changchun YaTai EU Bookmakers 26%
+30% / +30% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -4% / -4%
2.45/0.50 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.85/2.17
+8% / +39% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -17% / +3%
56% Ball Possession 44%
15 Total Shots 12
6 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
388 · 84% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 289 · 78%
28.4 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 15.2
19.8 Crosses 19.1
1.0 Yellow Cards 2.2

Yunnan Yukun vs Changchun YaTai Head-to-Head — Last 1 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Yunnan Yukun
0W-1D-0L
AWAY Changchun YaTai
0.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.00
0.51 xG 0.79
58% Ball Possession 42%
9 Total Shots 10
2 Shots on Target 3
3 Corners 2
280 Passes 173
71% Pass Accuracy 61%
26 Box Touches 13
29 Crosses 20
1 Yellow Cards 1
The Meetings
20.04.2025 Changchun YaTai Changchun YaTai 0-0 HT 0-0 Yunnan Yukun Yunnan Yukun ÇİNSL

Yunnan Yukun 1-1 Changchun YaTai — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Yunnan Yukun
1-1
AWAY Changchun YaTai
1.87 xG 0.26
61% Ball Possession 39%
17 Total Shots 5
1 Shots on Target 1
3 Corners 4
314 Passes 163
78% Pass Accuracy 63%
22 Box Touches 13
26 Crosses 14
0 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Yunnan Yukun vs Changchun YaTai
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Yunnan Yukun and Changchun YaTai shared the points in a 1-1 draw. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match lean was Yunnan Yukun at 53%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. On goals, both teams to score (57%) landed while over 2.5 goals (58%) missed.

On the day, Yunnan Yukun had 61% of the ball to Changchun YaTai's 39%, shots finished 17-5, expected goals 1.87 to 0.26.

What was the final score of Yunnan Yukun vs Changchun YaTai?

Yunnan Yukun 1-1 Changchun YaTai in the China Halk Cumhuriyeti - Super League on 30/08/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Yunnan Yukun vs Changchun YaTai?

Before kick-off our model rated a Yunnan Yukun win the most likely single outcome at about 53%, with the full match-result split Yunnan Yukun 53%, draw 25%, Changchun YaTai 23%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Yunnan Yukun), Over 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Yunnan Yukun) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
ÇİNSL More China Halk Cumhuriyeti - Super League
30 Aug 2025
14:35 Chengdu Qianbao vs Shanghai Port Analysis →