Sunderland 2-1 Brentford — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Premier League, 30 Aug 2025

Sunderland
2-1 HT 0-0
Brentford
📅30/08/2025 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 ✗ 2nd Score 0-1 ✗
England - Premier League – 2025/2026

Sunderland vs Brentford Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Authentic Intelligence™ · Probability per market
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
33%
2.84
Draw
29%
3.18
Away
38%
2.24
Under/Over 2.5
Under Pick
55%
1.74
Over
45%
2.0
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.82
No
48%
1.88
Total Goals
0-1 ✗
32%
2.79
2-3
38%
1.73
4-5
21%
3.84
6+
9%
17.5
Value flag · 0-1 at 2.79 — our 32% vs market 28.8%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
4.58
1/2
9%
28.0
1/X
11%
13.35
X/1
10%
6.25
X/2
15%
5.03
X/X
12%
4.22
2/1
6%
33.5
2/2
14%
3.28
2/X
6%
12.95
STRENGTH — green bars inside a box show the pattern support behind that selection, from Good · Strong · Very strong to Great — the deeper the historical record, the fuller the bar; informational, not a sized bet.
EV — the best model-vs-price gap in that group: the market pays more than our probability implies. After full time the tag settles to ✓ / ✗. Informational, not a validated tip — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.

Sunderland v Brentford — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Sunderland The Market 35%
Head to Head
AWAY Brentford The Market 45%
+2% / +10% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +4% / +4%
0.82/0.65 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.15/1.03
+55% / +90% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +41% / +40%
45% Ball Possession 55%
11 Total Shots 13
5 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 5
290 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 393 · 80%
16.1 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 27.7
17.4 Crosses 16.1
0.3 Yellow Cards 1.8

Sunderland vs Brentford Head-to-Head — Last 3 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Sunderland
0W-1D-2L
AWAY Brentford
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 2.33
1.47 xG 1.80
40% Ball Possession 60%
14 Total Shots 20
4 Shots on Target 7
8 Corners 6
186 Passes 326
66% Pass Accuracy 77%
28 Box Touches 40
21 Crosses 20
4 Yellow Cards 1
The Meetings
17.02.2018 Sunderland Sunderland 0-2 HT 0-2 Brentford Brentford İNCL
21.10.2017 Brentford Brentford 3-3 HT 1-3 Sunderland Sunderland İNCL
28.01.2006 Brentford Brentford 2-1 HT 0-0 Sunderland Sunderland FAK

Sunderland 2-1 Brentford — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Sunderland
2-1
AWAY Brentford
1.59 xG 1.22
54% Ball Possession 46%
12 Total Shots 7
3 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 4
328 Passes 270
81% Pass Accuracy 80%
15 Box Touches 14
18 Crosses 16
3 Yellow Cards 2
REVIEW Sunderland vs Brentford
IDDAAKOLIK POST-MATCH REVIEW

Sunderland shaded a tight game against Brentford 2-1. It stood 0-0 at the interval — everything that mattered happened after the restart.

From a near-even 33% / 29% / 38% read, it was Sunderland who turned the coin-flip their way. The one blemish: under 2.5 goals (55%) never looked like landing.

The match data tells the story: Sunderland had 54% of the ball to Brentford's 46%, shots finished 12-7, expected goals 1.59 to 1.22.

The head-to-head backdrop: across their last 3 meetings in our records, Brentford led the recent series with 2 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Sunderland and 2.33 for Brentford.

Sunderland vs Brentford Result & Final Score

Sunderland 2-1 Brentford in the England - Premier League on 30/08/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

Sunderland vs Brentford Prediction vs Result

Before kick-off our model rated an Brentford win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Sunderland 33%, draw 29%, Brentford 38%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Brentford), Under 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Brentford) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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