Lunds BK 2-1 Norrby IF — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Sweden - 1st Division, 30 Aug 2025

📅30/08/2025 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
37%
2.47
Draw
24%
3.35
Away
39%
2.47
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
46%
2.15
Over 2.5
54%
1.64
Both Teams to Score
Yes
56%
1.53
No
44%
2.33
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
2-3 Goals
35%
4-5 Goals
25%
6+ Goals
13%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
1/2
7%
1/X
5%
X/1
13%
X/2
11%
X/X
12%
2/1
8%
2/2
21%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
37%
Home Win
37%
-0.2pp
25%
Draw
26%
-1.9pp
39%
Away Win
37%
+2.1pp
46%
Under 2.5
43%
+3.5pp
54%
Over 2.5
57%
-3.5pp
56%
BTTS Yes
61%
-5.6pp
44%
BTTS No
39%
+5.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Lunds BK EU Bookmakers 40%
Head to Head
AWAY Norrby IF EU Bookmakers 40%
+5% / -2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -7% / -10%
1.11/1.37 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.07/1.19
-26% / +4% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -24% / +28%
53% Ball Possession 47%
12 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 5
339 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 324 · 80%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.5 Yellow Cards 1.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Lunds BK
3W-2D-1L
AWAY Norrby IF
1.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
54% Ball Possession 46%
13 Total Shots 12
6 Shots on Target 6
6 Corners 6
2 Yellow Cards 2
03.05.2025 Norrby IF Norrby IF 2-2 HT 0-2 Lunds BK Lunds BK İSÇ3
10.11.2024 Lunds BK Lunds BK 1-1 HT 0-0 Norrby IF Norrby IF İSÇ3
12.05.2024 Norrby IF Norrby IF 0-2 HT 0-0 Lunds BK Lunds BK İSÇ3
24.09.2023 Norrby IF Norrby IF 1-2 HT 0-1 Lunds BK Lunds BK İSÇ3
17.06.2023 Lunds BK Lunds BK 3-2 HT 3-1 Norrby IF Norrby IF İSÇ3
21.04.2014 Norrby IF Norrby IF 3-1 HT 1-0 Lunds BK Lunds BK İSÇ3
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Lunds BK
2-1
AWAY Norrby IF
55% Ball Possession 45%
14 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 5
7 Corners 3
1 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Lunds BK vs Norrby IF
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Lunds BK edged past Norrby IF 2-1.

Our pre-match split (37% / 25% / 39%) promised a tight game; Lunds BK found the edge the numbers couldn't. We had also flagged both teams to score (56%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Lunds BK had 55% of the ball to Norrby IF's 45%, shots finished 14-10.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Lunds BK had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.83 goals for Lunds BK and 1.50 for Norrby IF.

What was the final score of Lunds BK vs Norrby IF?

Lunds BK 2-1 Norrby IF in the Sweden - 1st Division on 30/08/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Lunds BK vs Norrby IF?

Before kick-off our model rated an Norrby IF win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Lunds BK 37%, draw 25%, Norrby IF 39%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Norrby IF) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Norrby IF) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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