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Roma (K) vs Sparta Prag (K) Prediction — Model Probabilities
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our Pick is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Roma (K) v Sparta Prag (K) — Team-Based Signals
Roma (K) vs Sparta Prag (K) Head-to-Head — Last 2 Meetings
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4-1
HT 1-1
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Sparta Prag (K)
ŞMP-K
1-2
HT 0-0
Roma (K)
ŞMP-K
Roma (K) 5-1 Sparta Prag (K) — Actual Match Statistics
Roma (K) cruised past Sparta Prag (K) 5-1. Half-time: 1-0. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.
As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Roma (K) as the likeliest winner at 64%, and the 5-1 landed on that lead. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (60%), both teams to score (56%), and both reads landed as well.
On the day, Roma (K) had 54% of the ball to Sparta Prag (K)'s 46%, shots finished 15-7.
For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, Roma (K) had the better of it with 2 wins. Those games averaged 3.00 goals for Roma (K) and 1.00 for Sparta Prag (K).
What was the final score of Roma (K) vs Sparta Prag (K)?
Roma (K) 5-1 Sparta Prag (K) in the Champions League - Women's on 30/08/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Roma (K) vs Sparta Prag (K)?
Before kick-off our model rated a Roma (K) win the most likely single outcome at about 64%, with the full match-result split Roma (K) 64%, draw 17%, Sparta Prag (K) 19%. The final score 5-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Roma (K)), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.