Madagaskar vs Fas Prediction — Model Probabilities
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our Pick is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Madagaskar v Fas — Team-Based Signals
Madagaskar 2-3 Fas — Actual Match Statistics
Fas nicked a narrow win over Madagaskar 3-2 away from home. Half-time: 1-2. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.
Just as the model leaned, our model had Fas as the likeliest winner at 51%, and the 3-2 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (61%) — went the other way, though.
On the day, Madagaskar had 44% of the ball to Fas's 56%, shots finished 9-12, expected goals 0.37 to 1.06.
What was the final score of Madagaskar vs Fas?
Madagaskar 2-3 Fas in the Afrika Uluslar Championship on 30/08/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Madagaskar vs Fas?
Before kick-off our model rated an Fas win the most likely single outcome at about 51%, with the full match-result split Madagaskar 15%, draw 34%, Fas 51%. The final score 2-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Fas) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.