Middelfart 2-2 Lyngby — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Denmark 1st Division, 30 Aug 2025

Middelfart
2-2 HT 0-2
Lyngby
📅30/08/2025 · 🕒15:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-2 ✗ 2nd Score 1-1 ✗
Denmark 1st Division – 2025/2026

Middelfart vs Lyngby Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
21%
4.65
Draw
22%
3.72
Away
57%
1.64
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
48%
1.8
Over 2.5
52%
1.91
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.95
No
51%
1.76
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
31%
2.91
2-3 Goals
39%
1.71
4-5 Goals
22%
3.54
6+ Goals
8%
14.95
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
9%
8.43
1/2
5%
24.1
1/X
4%
17.15
X/1
9%
9.93
X/2
17%
3.94
X/X
7%
4.99
2/1
4%
34.5
2/2
35%
2.09
2/X EV+ ✓
10%
15.35
Value flag · 2/X at 15.35 — our 10% vs market 3.7%. Landed.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
21%
Home Win
19%
+2.4pp
22%
Draw
24%
-2.3pp
57%
Away Win
57%
-0.2pp
48%
Under 2.5
52%
-3.4pp
52%
Over 2.5
48%
+3.4pp
49%
BTTS Yes
47%
+1.3pp
51%
BTTS No
53%
-1.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Middelfart v Lyngby — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Middelfart EU Bookmakers 22%
Head to Head
AWAY Lyngby EU Bookmakers 61%
-9% / -9% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +12% / +12%
1.70/0.94 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.04/0.97
-5% / +18% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +19% / +4%
45% Ball Possession 55%
8 Total Shots 13
3 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 6
265 · 72% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 384 · 80%
21.1 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 37.5
20.5 Crosses 18.7
1.5 Yellow Cards 0.8

Middelfart 2-2 Lyngby — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Middelfart
2-2
AWAY Lyngby
0.82 xG 1.83
46% Ball Possession 54%
11 Total Shots 15
6 Shots on Target 2
3 Corners 7
360 Passes 425
84% Pass Accuracy 84%
18 Box Touches 23
18 Crosses 20
3 Yellow Cards 6
POST-MATCH Middelfart vs Lyngby
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Middelfart and Lyngby shared the points in a 2-2 draw. Half-time: 0-2.

By our pre-match numbers this was an upset: we had Lyngby at 57% and the game still went the other way. Single results are noisy — probabilities earn their keep across thousands of matches, not one.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 52% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.

On the day, Middelfart had 46% of the ball to Lyngby's 54%, shots finished 11-15, expected goals 0.82 to 1.83.

What was the final score of Middelfart vs Lyngby?

Middelfart 2-2 Lyngby in the Denmark 1st Division on 30/08/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Middelfart vs Lyngby?

Before kick-off our model rated an Lyngby win the most likely single outcome at about 57%, with the full match-result split Middelfart 21%, draw 22%, Lyngby 57%. The final score 2-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5 — while Match Result (Lyngby), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Lyngby) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →