Horsholm-Usserod 1-1 Naesby — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Denmark - 3rd Division, 30 Aug 2025

📅30/08/2025 · 🕒14:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
35%
2.67
Draw
17%
3.54
Away
48%
2.23
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
42%
2.23
Over 2.5
58%
1.59
Both Teams to Score
Yes
58%
1.5
No
42%
2.4
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
26%
6+ Goals
12%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
1/2
13%
1/X
7%
X/1
12%
X/2
17%
X/X
7%
2/1
6%
2/2
17%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
35%
Home Win
34%
+0.9pp
18%
Draw
25%
-7.5pp
48%
Away Win
41%
+6.5pp
42%
Under 2.5
41%
+0.9pp
58%
Over 2.5
59%
-0.9pp
58%
BTTS Yes
62%
-4.2pp
42%
BTTS No
38%
+4.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Horsholm-Usserod EU Bookmakers 37%
Head to Head
AWAY Naesby EU Bookmakers 45%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +13% / +15%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +56% / +60%
46% Ball Possession 54%
13 Total Shots 14
5 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 6
272 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 347 · 82%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards 1.8
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Horsholm-Usserod
1-1
AWAY Naesby
39% Ball Possession 61%
6 Total Shots 8
4 Shots on Target 1
2 Corners 1
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Horsholm-Usserod vs Naesby
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Horsholm-Usserod and Naesby shared the points in a 1-1 draw. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Our pre-match lean was Naesby at 48%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. On goals, both teams to score (58%) landed while over 2.5 goals (58%) missed.

On the day, Horsholm-Usserod had 39% of the ball to Naesby's 61%, shots finished 6-8.

What was the final score of Horsholm-Usserod vs Naesby?

Horsholm-Usserod 1-1 Naesby in the Denmark - 3rd Division on 30/08/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Horsholm-Usserod vs Naesby?

Before kick-off our model rated an Naesby win the most likely single outcome at about 48%, with the full match-result split Horsholm-Usserod 35%, draw 18%, Naesby 48%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Naesby), Over 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Naesby) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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