Institute FC 1-2 Limavady United — Result, Statistics & Match Review — North Ireland - 1st Division, 30 Aug 2025

📅30/08/2025 · 🕒00:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 0-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
27%
2.67
Draw
21%
3.35
Away
52%
2.35
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
2.07
Over 2.5
49%
1.68
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.56
No
50%
2.27
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
31%
3.8
2-3 Goals
35%
1.78
4-5 Goals
24%
2.91
6+ Goals
10%
9.12
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.8 — our 31% vs market 19.7%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
1/2
7%
1/X
6%
X/1
5%
X/2
4%
X/X
8%
2/1
5%
2/2
40%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
27%
Home Win
34%
-7.4pp
22%
Draw
27%
-5.1pp
52%
Away Win
39%
+12.6pp
51%
Under 2.5
44%
+6.8pp
49%
Over 2.5
56%
-6.8pp
50%
BTTS Yes
60%
-10.4pp
50%
BTTS No
40%
+10.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Institute FC EU Bookmakers 37%
Head to Head
AWAY Limavady United EU Bookmakers 43%
-11% / -10% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
1.14/1.45 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.37/1.00
-32% / +10% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -20% / +51%
47% Ball Possession 53%
9 Total Shots 13
3 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 5
289 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 319 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.7 Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Institute FC
0W-1D-2L
AWAY Limavady United
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
08.02.2025 Limavady United Limavady United 2-1 Institute FC Institute FC KİRL1
26.12.2024 Institute FC Institute FC 1-1 Limavady United Limavady United KİRL1
27.08.2024 Limavady United Limavady United 2-1 HT 2-0 Institute FC Institute FC KİRL1
POST-MATCH Institute FC vs Limavady United
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Limavady United edged past Institute FC 2-1 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we said in the preview, our model had Limavady United as the likeliest winner at 52%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

For context: across their last 3 meetings in our records, Limavady United led the recent series with 2 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Institute FC and 1.67 for Limavady United.

What was the final score of Institute FC vs Limavady United?

Institute FC 1-2 Limavady United in the North Ireland - 1st Division on 30/08/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Institute FC vs Limavady United?

Before kick-off our model rated an Limavady United win the most likely single outcome at about 52%, with the full match-result split Institute FC 27%, draw 22%, Limavady United 52%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Limavady United) — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Limavady United) ✗ Under 2.5
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