Orn Horten 3-4 Drobak / Frogn — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Norway - 3rd Division, 30 Aug 2025

📅30/08/2025 · 🕒15:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-1 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
53%
1.49
Draw
23%
4.49
Away
24%
4.75
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
48%
Over 2.5
52%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
59%
1.43
No
41%
2.6
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
21%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
28%
6+ Goals
12%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
28%
1/2
4%
1/X
10%
X/1
12%
X/2
7%
X/X
8%
2/1
12%
2/2
14%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
53%
Home Win
63%
-10.4pp
23%
Draw
19%
+3.9pp
24%
Away Win
18%
+6.5pp
59%
BTTS Yes
66%
-6.6pp
41%
BTTS No
34%
+6.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Orn Horten EU Bookmakers 67%
Head to Head
AWAY Drobak / Frogn EU Bookmakers 21%
+3% / +3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +2% / +2%
2.60/0.77 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.34/2.32
+2% / +71% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -9% / +7%
53% Ball Possession 47%
15 Total Shots 12
7 Shots on Target 6
6 Corners 4
430 · 84% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 246 · 75%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.8 Yellow Cards 2.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Orn Horten
1W-0D-0L
AWAY Drobak / Frogn
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.00
26.07.2025 Drobak / Frogn Drobak / Frogn 0-1 HT 0-0 Orn Horten Orn Horten NOR4
POST-MATCH Orn Horten vs Drobak / Frogn
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Drobak / Frogn edged past Orn Horten 4-3 away from home. Half-time: 0-1. 7 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match lean was Orn Horten at 53%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals side of the card held up too — both teams to score (59%) came in.

What was the final score of Orn Horten vs Drobak / Frogn?

Orn Horten 3-4 Drobak / Frogn in the Norway - 3rd Division on 30/08/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Orn Horten vs Drobak / Frogn?

Before kick-off our model rated a Orn Horten win the most likely single outcome at about 53%, with the full match-result split Orn Horten 53%, draw 23%, Drobak / Frogn 24%. The final score 3-4 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Orn Horten) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Orn Horten) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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