Polonia Warszawa 2-1 Pogon Grodzisk Mazowiecki — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Poland - 1st Division, 30 Aug 2025

Polonia Warszawa
2 - 1 HT 2 - 1
Pogon Grodzisk Mazowiecki
📅30/08/2025 · 🕒20:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 ✓ 2nd Score 3-1 ✗
Poland - 1st Division – 2025/2026

Polonia Warszawa vs Pogon Grodzisk Mazowiecki Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Authentic Intelligence™ · Probability per market
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
48%
1.9
Draw
23%
3.72
Away
29%
3.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under
35%
2.33
Over Pick
65%
1.58
Both Teams to Score
Yes
62%
1.51
No
38%
2.39
Total Goals
0-1
15%
4.42
2-3
43%
1.85
4-5
31%
2.67
6+
11%
7.21
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
30%
1/2
2%
1/X
5%
X/1
15%
X/2
10%
X/X
13%
2/1
3%
2/2
17%
2/X
5%
STRENGTH — pattern support: Good → Great · fuller bar = deeper record. Informational.
Our Pick = the most likely outcome.

Polonia Warszawa v Pogon Grodzisk Mazowiecki — Team-Based Signals

SIGNALS Team Signals — the why behind the numbers
iddaakolik predictions — not real match figures
HOME Polonia Warszawa The Market 53%
Head to Head
AWAY Pogon Grodzisk Mazowiecki The Market 32%
Weak Team Performanceagainst Market Expectation Bad
1.94 xG Scorediddaakolik model prediction 1.17
1.59 xG Concedediddaakolik model prediction 1.82
Average Attack Strength Bad
Weak Defense Strength Bad
58% Ball Possession 42%
14 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
403 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 216 · 71%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
2 Yellow Cards 2

Polonia Warszawa 2-1 Pogon Grodzisk Mazowiecki — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Polonia Warszawa
2 - 1
AWAY Pogon Grodzisk Mazowiecki
57% Ball Possession 43%
11 Total Shots 15
3 Shots on Target 3
10 Corners 4
REVIEW Polonia Warszawa vs Pogon Grodzisk Mazowiecki
IDDAAKOLIK POST-MATCH REVIEW

Polonia Warszawa nicked a narrow win over Pogon Grodzisk Mazowiecki 2-1.

As we said in the preview, our model had Polonia Warszawa as the likeliest winner at 48%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. Nothing to argue with on goals either — over 2.5 goals (65%), both teams to score (62%) came home.

Under the surface, Polonia Warszawa had 57% of the ball to Pogon Grodzisk Mazowiecki's 43%, shots finished 11-15.

Polonia Warszawa vs Pogon Grodzisk Mazowiecki Result & Final Score

Polonia Warszawa 2 - 1 Pogon Grodzisk Mazowiecki in the Poland - 1st Division on 30/08/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

Polonia Warszawa vs Pogon Grodzisk Mazowiecki Prediction vs Result

Before kick-off our model rated a Polonia Warszawa win the most likely single outcome at about 48%, with the full match-result split Polonia Warszawa 48%, draw 23%, Pogon Grodzisk Mazowiecki 29%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Polonia Warszawa), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Polonia Warszawa) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
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