Jastrzebie Zdroj 1-1 Warta Poznan — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Poland - 2nd Division, 30 Aug 2025

Jastrzebie Zdroj
1-1 HT 1-0
Warta Poznan
📅30/08/2025 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 ✓ 2nd Score 0-1 ✗
Poland - 2nd Division – 2025/2026

Jastrzebie Zdroj vs Warta Poznan Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
32%
2.84
Draw
29%
3.18
Away
39%
2.23
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
54%
1.78
Over 2.5
46%
1.95
Both Teams to Score
Yes
55%
1.76
No
45%
1.95
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
28%
2.86
2-3 Goals
44%
1.7
4-5 Goals
20%
3.59
6+ Goals
8%
15.5
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.86 — our 28% vs market 27.3%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
1/2
5%
1/X
9%
X/1
11%
X/2
10%
X/X
13%
2/1
6%
2/2
24%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
32%
Home Win
31%
+0.8pp
29%
Draw
28%
+1.3pp
39%
Away Win
41%
-2.2pp
54%
Under 2.5
52%
+1.6pp
46%
Over 2.5
48%
-1.6pp
55%
BTTS Yes
53%
+1.7pp
45%
BTTS No
47%
-1.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Jastrzebie Zdroj v Warta Poznan — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Jastrzebie Zdroj EU Bookmakers 35%
Head to Head
AWAY Warta Poznan EU Bookmakers 45%
-4% / +4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -1% / -1%
1.18/1.37 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.00/0.00
-11% / -1% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -100% / –
50% Ball Possession 50%
13 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
278 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 322 · 74%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
2.2 Yellow Cards 2.0

Jastrzebie Zdroj vs Warta Poznan Head-to-Head — Last 2 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Jastrzebie Zdroj
0W-0D-2L
AWAY Warta Poznan
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
44% Ball Possession 56%
5 Total Shots 12
2 Shots on Target 6
6 Corners 6
2 Yellow Cards 0
The Meetings
31.08.2022 Jastrzebie Zdroj Jastrzebie Zdroj 0-2 HT 0-2 Warta Poznan Warta Poznan POLK
03.06.2020 Jastrzebie Zdroj Jastrzebie Zdroj 1-2 HT 1-1 Warta Poznan Warta Poznan POL1
POST-MATCH Jastrzebie Zdroj vs Warta Poznan
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Jastrzebie Zdroj and Warta Poznan shared the points in a 1-1 draw. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

We called this one close before kick-off — 32% / 29% / 39% — and a draw is about as on-script as that read gets. The goals side of the card held up too — both teams to score (55%) came in.

Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, Warta Poznan led the recent series with 2 wins. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Jastrzebie Zdroj and 2.00 for Warta Poznan.

What was the final score of Jastrzebie Zdroj vs Warta Poznan?

Jastrzebie Zdroj 1-1 Warta Poznan in the Poland - 2nd Division on 30/08/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Jastrzebie Zdroj vs Warta Poznan?

Before kick-off our model rated an Warta Poznan win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Jastrzebie Zdroj 32%, draw 29%, Warta Poznan 39%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Warta Poznan) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Warta Poznan) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
POL2 More Poland - 2nd Division
30 Aug 2025
13:30 Podbeskidzie Bielsko vs Hutnik Krakow Analysis →
17:00 Kalisz vs LKS Lodz II Analysis →
17:00 Slask Wroclaw II vs Stal Stalowa Wola Analysis →