İnegölspor 2-1 Karacabey Belediye Spor — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Turkey - 2nd Division Beyaz Grup, 30 Aug 2025

İnegölspor
2-1 HT 2-1
Karacabey Belediye Spor
📅30/08/2025 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 ✗ 2nd Score 1-0 ✗
Turkey - 2nd Division Beyaz Grup – 2025/2026

İnegölspor vs Karacabey Belediye Spor Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
37%
2.94
Draw
27%
2.94
Away
36%
2.39
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
56%
1.6
Over 2.5
44%
2.21
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.9
No
51%
1.81
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
32%
2-3 Goals
43%
4-5 Goals
19%
6+ Goals
6%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
1/2
4%
1/X
4%
X/1
17%
X/2
16%
X/X
15%
2/1
4%
2/2
17%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
37%
Home Win
31%
+5.9pp
27%
Draw
31%
-3.9pp
36%
Away Win
38%
-2.0pp
56%
Under 2.5
59%
-2.8pp
44%
Over 2.5
41%
+2.8pp
49%
BTTS Yes
49%
+0.0pp
51%
BTTS No
51%
-0.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

İnegölspor v Karacabey Belediye Spor — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME İnegölspor EU Bookmakers 34%
Head to Head
AWAY Karacabey Belediye Spor EU Bookmakers 42%
+10% / +10% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
-11% / +45% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) – / –
50% Ball Possession 50%
11 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
286 · 73% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 350 · 77%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
2.2 Yellow Cards –

İnegölspor vs Karacabey Belediye Spor Head-to-Head — Last 3 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME İnegölspor
0W-1D-2L
AWAY Karacabey Belediye Spor
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
The Meetings
09.12.2010 Karacabey Belediye Spor Karacabey Belediye Spor 2-0 HT 0-0 İnegölspor İnegölspor S3-1
18.03.2009 Karacabey Belediye Spor Karacabey Belediye Spor 1-0 HT 0-0 İnegölspor İnegölspor TÜ3-3
09.10.2008 Karacabey Belediye Spor Karacabey Belediye Spor 2-2 HT 2-2 İnegölspor İnegölspor TÜ3-3

İnegölspor 2-1 Karacabey Belediye Spor — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME İnegölspor
2-1
AWAY Karacabey Belediye Spor
46% Ball Possession 54%
10 Total Shots 14
6 Shots on Target 5
7 Corners 6
0 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH İnegölspor vs Karacabey Belediye Spor
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

İnegölspor squeezed past Karacabey Belediye Spor 2-1.

Our pre-match split (37% / 27% / 36%) promised a tight game; İnegölspor found the edge the numbers couldn't. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (56%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, İnegölspor had 46% of the ball to Karacabey Belediye Spor's 54%, shots finished 10-14.

For context: across their last 3 meetings in our records, Karacabey Belediye Spor led the recent series with 2 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for İnegölspor and 1.67 for Karacabey Belediye Spor.

What was the final score of İnegölspor vs Karacabey Belediye Spor?

İnegölspor 2-1 Karacabey Belediye Spor in the Turkey - 2nd Division Beyaz Grup on 30/08/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for İnegölspor vs Karacabey Belediye Spor?

Before kick-off our model rated a İnegölspor win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split İnegölspor 37%, draw 27%, Karacabey Belediye Spor 36%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (İnegölspor) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (İnegölspor) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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