Chelsea vs Brighton & Hove Albion Prediction, Probabilities & Odds — England - Premier League, 30 Aug 2026

📅30/08/2026 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
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MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Authentic Intelligence™ · Probability per market
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
51%
1.86
Draw
26%
3.54
Away
23%
3.48
Under/Over 2.5
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Both Teams to Score
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Total Goals
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Half Time / Full Time
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STRENGTH — pattern support: Good → Great · fuller bar = deeper record. Informational.
Our Pick = the most likely outcome.
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Chelsea
2W-0D-4L
AWAY Brighton & Hove Albion
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 2.33
1.48 xG 1.30
53% Ball Possession 47%
10 Total Shots 12
3 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
446 Passes 385
86% Pass Accuracy 85%
23 Box Touches 28
13 Crosses 17
2 Yellow Cards 2
21.04.2026 Brighton & Hove Albion Brighton & Hove Albion 3-0 HT 1-0 Chelsea Chelsea İNP
27.09.2025 Chelsea Chelsea 1-3 HT 1-0 Brighton & Hove Albion Brighton & Hove Albion İNP
14.02.2025 Brighton & Hove Albion Brighton & Hove Albion 3-0 HT 2-0 Chelsea Chelsea İNP
08.02.2025 Brighton & Hove Albion Brighton & Hove Albion 2-1 HT 1-1 Chelsea Chelsea FAK
28.09.2024 Chelsea Chelsea 4-2 HT 4-2 Brighton & Hove Albion Brighton & Hove Albion İNP
15.05.2024 Brighton & Hove Albion Brighton & Hove Albion 1-2 HT 0-1 Chelsea Chelsea İNP
PREVIEW Chelsea vs Brighton & Hove Albion
IDDAAKOLIK MATCH PREVIEW

The model tilts towards Chelsea, but not by enough to write Brighton & Hove Albion off.

Chelsea have lost 4 of their last 5 home league games.

Looking at the history: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Brighton & Hove Albion lead the recent series with 4 wins. Scoring in those meetings ran 1.33 a game for Chelsea against 2.33 for Brighton & Hove Albion.

Chelsea vs Brighton & Hove Albion Kick-off Time

Chelsea play Brighton & Hove Albion in the England - Premier League on 30/08/2026, kick-off 16:00 (Istanbul · GMT+3).

Chelsea vs Brighton & Hove Albion Match Prediction & Odds

Our model's prediction for Chelsea vs Brighton & Hove Albion is a Chelsea win at about 51% probability, priced 1.86 at EU bookmakers. The full match-result split is Chelsea 51%, draw 25%, Brighton & Hove Albion 23%. These are probability estimates, not certainties — the most likely outcome still loses much of the time.

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İNP More England - Premier League
30 Aug 2026
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